By Jo Nova
What’s most interesting about this is that this paper was ever published at all, given how awful it was.
In April last year Nature released the Kotz study which said that climate change would cause a mind-blowingly shocking 62% reduction in economic output by 2,100AD. Now, we know it’s wrong because the climate models are useless, but it turned out that one outlier country singlehandedly trashed the world economic forecasts, and that was Uzbekistan. Instead of a 62% reduction, without Uzbekistan, the global drop was “only 23%”.
So much for “peer review” then? This paper’s conclusion was wildly worse than the consensus of doomer papers, but the peer reviewers didn’t figure out why its result was so skewed, so Nature, supposedly the most esteemed repository of science, published the outlier anyway.
Even the uber left The New York Times is saying they should have been more skeptical:
Top Journal Retracts Study Predicting Catastrophic Climate Toll
By Lydia DePillis, The New York Times
Of course, erasing more than 20 percent of the world’s economic activity would still be a devastating blow to human welfare. The paper’s detractors emphasize that climate change is a major threat, as recent meta analyses have found, and that more should be done to address it — but, they say, unusual results should be treated skeptically.
“Most people for the last decade have thought that a 20 percent reduction in 2100 was an insanely large number,” said Solomon Hsiang, a professor of global environmental policy at Stanford University who co-wrote the critique published in August. “So the fact that this paper is coming out saying 60 percent is off the chart.”
Naturally, the mistake helped The Blob, so almost no one with a job in the climate-alarm industry wanted to look for anything that might be overdone. This study was used to justify all kinds of economic decisions that otherwise make no sense. Ka-ching. Ka-ching.
It also led to a striking comparison with the costs of avoiding catastrophic warming. Damages that are essentially baked in over the next 25 years will cost six times the money it would take to lower emissions enough to limit the world to 2 degrees Celsius of warming, the goal set by the Paris Climate Accord.
This is emblematic of the whole field of climate research. Monopsonistic research always finds what the one sole customer (The Blob) pays it to find. Thus the government funded establishment loved it. Look how popular this junk-research was:
The paper was also cited by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, and was in the top 5 percent of journal articles tracked by Altmetric, a measurement tool for research impact. Carbon Brief, a climate-focused news outlet, found it was the second most referenced climate paper in 2024.
Roger Pielke Jnr points out this was the second most featured climate paper in the media in 2024. “More importantly, [Kotz et al] has been widely used in policy around the world to justify projections of catastrophic future climate impacts and as a basis for cost-benefit analyses of mitigation.” It was used in places like the U.S. Congressional Budget Office, the OECD the World Bank and the UK Office for Budget Responsibility.
The Australian Climate Change Authority also cited the now-retracted Kotz et al. (2024) Nature paper in its official advice on Australia’s 2035 climate targets. They didn’t specifically quote any passages from it — but they used it as part of the “evidence base” to imply massive, climate damages that justify extremely high emissions-reduction targets.
Lint Barrage, chair of energy and climate economics at ETH Zurich (said) “It can feel sometimes, depending on the audience, that there’s an expectation of finding large estimates,” Ms. Barrage said. “If your goal is to try to make the case for climate change, you have crossed the line from scientist to activist, and why would the public trust you?”
So why has this been retracted now?
Is Nature sensing a change in the mood where this sort of weak “activist-science” looks terrible…? Could be.
The retraction might be just part of the escape plan. They’ve had their headlines of doom for 18 months already.
REFERENCES (that aren’t any more)
Kotz, M., Levermann, A., & Wenz, L. (2024). The economic commitment of climate change. Nature, 628(8008), 551–557. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-07219-0”
Image by Pete Linforth from Pixabay
h/t to Climate Depot
If there’s a science more dismal than Climate Doom, it’s Economic Doom. Which economist predicted the 1928 crash? Who predicted the 2008 GFC? But endless books have been written in hindsight.
Australia’s dedicated Climate experts, the BOM even with ancient aboriginal technology cannot get the summer right, two years ago predicting massive drought instead of flooding rains and with billions of losses for farmers. They they are certain about the next 75 years?
After 37 years of tipping points, climate refugees, dead polar bears, caribou, emperor penguins and our own endless drought, everything is fine. Now Sri Lanka and Bangladesh are the latest victim of rapid Climate Change. Somewhere in the world the UN is proved right every year. You just have to blame every natural event on Climate Change and CO2.
The combination of Climate Science and Economic Science is deadly. Australian governments are spending hundreds of billions in massive taxation to change global CO2 and with absolutely zero effect.
But they are creating an economic collapse as we head into deep recession to solve a problem which is not there with methods proven not to work.
In Victoria the hiring of thousands of public servants with cash we do not have while businesses are collapsing is reaching a climax. As Nationally, we are broke and hiding the truth by hiring thousands of people has made it far worse. Yesterday a thousand public servants were fired and there are no jobs. Government taxes have killed everything. A 10% tax on staff for restaurants on Sunday. Tripling the berthing cost for visitors to Melbourne has shut down the tourist industry. And rocketing electricity prices have killed of industries, as intended. Our Windmill manufacturer Keppel Prince closed this year while we subsidize American aluminum. Quenos was sold off, so we cannot recycle plastic and another 800 jobs. CO2 taxes buried in everything you buy. And every move you make under the awful non science “Safeguard Mechanism”
Climate Change is killing Australia fast, making us defenceless, broke and assisted by massive social benefits migration, we are being flushed economically. All to save the world. Except that’s a lie. But economics is real. We cannot afford nuclear submarines or to defend ourselves at all, exactly as intended. World communism created Climate Change, led by the UN and China and ably assisted by their allies around the world. Climate Scientists have just been useful idiots and when have economists been right except in hindsight?
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So a source paper has been withdrawn. Will all the papers that cited this document now have to be recalled?
How about government decisions?
I feel like my wallet has been drained for a false doctrine. Refund? From who?
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Truly amazing state of ineptitude. And the paper by Dr John Nicol that clearly exonerates CO2 was never published. So the pollies never had the chance to venture into the real CO2 world. So Oz continues down Bowen’s mudslide. But while we depend on Ping’s mob to fund our unis we will continue to have our paid intellectuals rely on modelling as opposed to facts…Heaven forbid!
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It’s true in a way.
But it’s only because of the destruction of our energy supply and other “climate change” restrictions because of supposed climate change that causes the drop in economic output.
Look at Australia, a prime example. Fully woke. A dumbed-down “education” system, in actuality an indoctrination system. Fanatically committed to the Climate Change Scam. All factions of the Uniparty, the fully indoctrinated children, a vast army of “useful idiots” of the Left and many voters believe in catastrophic climate change of anthropogenic origin.
A nation run by ignorant, stupid and traitorous politicians and the senior public serpents that tell them what to think plus union thugs like the CFMEU.
Now deindustrialised and living on borrowed money until the borrowed money runs out and with a declining standard of living that even Their ABC admits to*.
In a free market, without energy restrictions, economic growth is generally continuous.
* https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-05-07/can-albanese-government-fix-the-economy-four-corners/105260320
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I don’t believe they are ignorant nor stupid. I think they are quite intelligent and manipulative. Governments create fear in order to control the populace and garner wealth. Politicians and their media are quite effective at both to their advantage and our deficit.
Voters are ignorant and stupid and the pols do all they can to keep them so.
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Courtesy of the Spectator Magazine. “Daron Acemoglu and James Robinson’s book of 2013, Why Nations Fail, explains China’s insurmountable handicap. The authors sought to understand why only some countries get rich. They found the incentives promoted by a country’s institutions lead either to poverty or prosperity, and that politics determines what institutions a country possesses.
In short, rich countries have pluralistic political institutions that form and sustain inclusive economic institutions. The diffused sources of power in these countries combined with the rule of law, secure property rights and a market economy foster the ‘creative destruction’ articulated by Austrian economist Joseph Schumpeter that leads to prosperity.”
While the subject was why the Chinese economy has reached its peak the same criteria can be applied to Australia.
a. Do we still have property rights? Jacinta Allen is demanding access to private property to install transmission lines and wind towers. She threatens the owners with huge fines and possible jail time. Howard had the states lock up farmer’s lands to meet his Kyoto targets with no compensation. Home owners cannot remove potential tree hazards without approval from councils. Zoning regulations restrict land usage. Water flowing over one’s land belongs to the state except for 10% which can be captured. In WA approval must be sought from Aborigines before work can be done on one’s farm.
b. Do we have a market economy? One of the biggest and most important utility is electricity but we are prohibited from using the cheapest and most reliable generators because of government intervention and market manipulation.
c. What incentives does our government provide for people to get rich? In fact the opposite is true. The government punishes the productive and rewards the indolent. While making it harder for entrepreneurs, the government employs ever more of the parasitic class.
So tell me; we were once rich because we had those things that make a country rich but now we are getting poorer because we have adopted those conditions which make a country poorer. The government is the problem and thankfully our constitution allows us to throw them out.
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In April last year Nature released the Kotz study which said that (climate change) roll out of renewable solutions would cause a mind-blowingly shocking 62% reduction in economic output by 2,100AD.
Right on target by rolling out hobby energy generation.
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Hobby generation is ok when you and I do it, but fatal when our govt does it.
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A standard Potsdam quality Climate Change (formerly Global Warming) paper, authored by usual suspects. Thank you Dr. Pielke Jr for helping to bring it down. Nature is now a new Scientific American.
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None of this would ever have happened without the re-election of Donald Trump. That is truly the gift that keeps on giving.
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To be fair though Lomborg also had a PR study showing that people will be 4.34 times richer in 2100 and he used Dr Nordhaus and Dr Tol’s data to support his claims.
And that’s after a CC hit from about 4.5 to 4.34 times or about a 0.16 UNMITIGATED reduction caused by CC.
Here’s his summary and Dr Nordhaus won the Nobel prize for Economics for his work.
“Bjorn Lomborg argues in a new paper that climate change is not the costliest problem facing humanity and that on a cost-benefit basis climate policy performs poorly relative to policies aimed at addressing air pollution, education, gender inequality, health, nutrition, trade or conflict. The paper suggests that the total cost from not implementing climate policy would be equivalent to a 3.6% reduction in total GDP. However, since humans are expected to become much wealthier in future, damages from climate change over the 21st century are estimated to reduce human welfare by less than 4% under scenarios set out under the UN Climate Panel (IPCC, from a predicted increase of 450% to 434%)”.
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Here’s a link to Lomborg’s PR study and the abstract makes it easier to understand the relevant data.
And Lomborg also uses the IPCC data to reach his conclusion about the unmitigated CC penalty.
Again why are the OECD countries WASTING TRILLIONs of $ on their CC fantasy?
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162520304157?ref=pdf_download&fr=RR-2&rr=9a8e4a35aa2c7ea8
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Because in those countries there are a class of people that want to keep the associated gravy train rolling for as long as it lasts.
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climate changenet zero policy would cause a mind-blowingly shocking 62% reduction in economic output for the western world by 2,100AD300
The fact that they quote precise figures like “62%” for an economic event 76 years in the future ought to be an immediate alarm bell that it’s BS.
It sounds like the output of one of their non-validated “models”.
Garbage In. Garbage Out. As they used to teach back in the day.
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Not much different to the climate wizards claiming 6 significant figures on their global average from the early 20th century. If they showed a map of the thermometer locations with that data the laughter SHOULD be deafening.
Someone would have to explain this to Bowen, he’s still thinking the world is flat, we just need to build solar panels on the other side for night time.
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By my reckoning looking at any number of metrics describing the health of societies most if not all Western Liberal Democracies will be failed states well before any of the impacts of Global warming are felt. Global Warming is misdirection away from the more immediate real problems that Western Liberal Democracies face.
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Nature used to be a premium journal, arguably the best scientific journal, but like all good things it succumbed to the Left’s der lange Marsch durch die Institutionen and was ruined when it went fully woke.
In 2019, Jordan Peterson said a once-great publication was going “farther down the social constructionist rabbit hole”.
Just imagine how bad something must be for them to redact a paper of a woke nature these days.
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Wondering if Nay-cha’s retraction (due to questionable maths skills) had anything to do with the radio report yesterday ‘claiming’ the 1400s Black Plague was due to – drum roll please – CCC™️, induced by an unknown tropical volcano reducing worldwide temperatures by “two degrees”, ruining crops due to the lack of sunlight and/or heavy rains, requiring foodstuffs (wheat?) to be imported into Europe from “north of the Black Sea” … an area whose name also starts with ‘U’ yet is more than a few days’ camel ride west and north of today’s Uzbekistan.
Deadly ‘Climate Change’ [sic] 600 years ago? Induced via natural causes? Cold soggy conditions ruining crops causing hunger, and madness, throughout Christendom? Yet not one coal power plant nor diesel 4×4 sullied the pristine arcadian landscape. Oh, and the rats & the fleas that came with the ‘life-saving’ food from the east.
Possibly some of the details above were mis-heard due to my drug-addled perceptions having come out of my third (!!!) surgery to rectify a detached retina (silicon oil has now been injected into my right eye in a last-ditch attempt to reattach the wayward retina) 3rd-time lucky I’m hoping. Thank goodness for hydrocarbons & plastics & medicines & electricity & other modern-day luxuries – however I’ll pass on the fleas and rats and predictions for 2100 AD.
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I hope your latest surgery works well Greg.
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Me too.
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Greg
take Quercetin with Bromelain plus additional Bromelain post surgery
Don’t know how it works on eyes, but was taking for my 2 x eye surgeries and 2 x cataracts
and current deep leg & arm wounds – who says he is clumsy!
Definitely helps me at 80 heal quickly
Bromelain, a proteolytic enzyme derived from pineapple stems and juice, is widely recognized for its potential to support surgery recovery by reducing inflammation, swelling, and pain.
It works by inhibiting pain mediators such as bradykinin and reducing the production of inflammatory agents like kinin, which are responsible for swelling and discomfort.
Clinical studies have demonstrated that patients taking bromelain after surgery experience significantly reduced postoperative edema and pain, with some reporting a need for fewer pain medications, including NSAIDs.
Bromelain has been shown to accelerate healing by improving tissue repair and reducing bruising, particularly when taken before and after surgery.
A prospective study involving 100 patients undergoing maxillofacial trauma surgery found that those who received bromelain and coumarins had faster resolution of facial swelling, improved mouth opening, and required less anti-inflammatory therapy compared to the control group.
Similarly, a clinical trial on patients undergoing free gingival grafting reported that oral bromelain (500 mg/day) effectively reduced pain at the donor site and enhanced wound healing without increasing bleeding risk.
The combination of bromelain with other compounds, such as quercetin, is believed to enhance its benefits, particularly in reducing bruising, swelling, and scar formation.
Quercetin, a flavonoid, complements bromelain by inhibiting histamine production and supporting connective tissue repair.
Bromelain also aids in protein assimilation, which is essential for tissue repair and muscle recovery, and may help break down stored fat to provide sustained energy for healing.
For optimal results, bromelain is typically recommended to be started 3 to 7 days before surgery and continued for up to two weeks afterward.
The standard dosage ranges from 500 to 1000 mg per day, preferably in an enteric-coated form to ensure absorption in the intestine rather than the stomach.
It is generally well-tolerated with minimal side effects, though caution is advised when combining it with other anti-inflammatory or anticoagulant medications due to potential interactions.
Overall, bromelain is considered a safe and effective natural supplement to support faster, more comfortable surgical recovery.
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FWIW
From SDA’s look at this –
“It is not just the retraction that matters — that’s long overdue — but the reaction to the retraction, which indicates that while the old ways still have a grip on the climate discussion, things may be changing for the better.”
https://www.smalldeadanimals.com/2025/12/04/y2kyoto-news-they-cant-use/
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All those modelling papers are awful. I cant understand the obsession of governments with modelling. Can only assume its the ability to blame a neutral third party ( model ) if everything goes tits up.
Whether its Neil Ferguson with COVID, Climate, government economic policy or traffic management, they’re only as good as their most basic assumptions. Which as we know, can make an ass out of you and me (assume).
Plus, no-one but no-one can ever predict the future.
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Blaming a third party is Labor standard practice.
See any error involving Albosleezy and there will be a third party that gave him the wrong info, so not his fault.
He will, however, continue to use the same ‘expert’ source (eg, CSIRO, BOM) to fix the previous error
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— –“I cant understand the obsession of governments with modelling. “
Modeling is perfect for the Blob Government. They pay a team to come up with the number they want to hear. They call them “independent” even though they paid them. Then they use the quote in all the press conferences, pretending that it’s just experts talking and they deny all responsibility for making the decision themselves.
This is how the Blob steals from The People and makes it look like they are serving them while they rip them off.
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It is not just governments, and the apparent obsession may just be hard-wired.
Science to the rescue?
Yeah rightl
https://joannenova.com.au/2025/12/friday-137/#comment-2884316
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‘Plus, no-one but no-one can ever predict the future.’
True, but Quantum AI might give us the broad parameters. It has to be programmed correctly, the Kotz et al. (2024) paper will be omitted, along with thousands more.
If we could organise this quickly it would be useful knowledge for Hastie, going into battle on our behalf.
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What’s even worse is that nefarious governments and their acolytes hell bent on indoctrination of ‘policy’ clowns like Chris Bowen get hold of infartmation like this in the full knowledge that time will heal most ills. Climate change, except that induced by catastrophic occurrences like a nuclear war or meteor strike and or volcanic eruption etc. are slow developers that provides plenty of time to adjust and dare I say acclimatise.
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High-stakes battle over skyrocketing doctors’ fees
Out-of-pocket costs for specialist doctors are crippling consumer budgets. Now Labor is declaring ‘all options are on the table’ as it contemplates unprecedented action.
‘all options are on the table’ for a Marxist Dictatorship to attempt to control with Laws that compel Doctors and Specialists to adhere to a Government Schedule of fees. This will create a dearth of Medical personnel as they either leave the Country or the profession. Either way Australia will be worse off.
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The Left must not be allowed to get away with their lies which have caused so much economic destruction of woke Western countries.
Don’t forgive. Don’t forget.
And when time and opportunity allow, PROSECUTE. And remind politicians, senior public serpents and Government “scientists” what might be coming whenever you meet them.
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Again, here’s the average World GDP per capita since 1 AD and see the near vertical climb after 1900.
All those extra billions of people and yet the average global person is much healthier and wealthier today.
So what’s the problem with the climate since 1900 or since 1950 or since Dr Hansen’s BS loony speech in Washington DC in 1988?
Here’s the link to OWI Data GDP per capita link.
So let’s ditch their dangerous CC fantasy and start building BASELOAD generation as fast as we possibly can.
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/global-average-gdp-per-capita-over-the-long-run
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I’m as suspicious of GDP numbers (and inflation numbers for that matter) as I am of temperature data! Its a nonsense number devised by economists who pick and choose to get the result they want. I mean why wouldn’t GDP keep rising if you keep borrowing money and feeding it into the economy.
A better number is the ratio of rise in GDP to rise in Debt – Australia sitting at around perhaps 43 cents per dollar borrowed – suggesting that rises in GDP come no where near to repaying debt. “Investment” implies a positive return on borrowings. Our borrowings are just to prop up consumption to make the GDP growth look positive.
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Neville. You think it is about science. It was never about science nor was it about CO2. It is about what it has always been about, POWER. The Club of Rome thought it would be a good idea to use CO2 as the missile that would destroy the West’s influence and grant more to the Socialists/Communists. Who wants 8 billion free thinking people, each determining their own path in life when they could be coerced into one amorphous mass just begging for the rich and powerful to direct them in their endeavours to make those same rich and powerful even more rich and powerful.
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Perhaps one or many of us should right to the Climate Change “Authority” and ask them what parts, if any, of their economy-destroying policies will be withdrawn as a result of the withdrawal of this paper.
You may be interested to know that the current Chair of the CCA is Matt Kean, a former parliamentary Liberal Party member. He has the full approval of the PM thus again demonstrating that the woke Liberals are just another faction of the Uniparty or even actually fully aligned with Labor as it it is difficult or impossible to tell the difference.
Don’t you think that this is sufficient evidence that the Liberal Party is no alternative to Labor? They are one and the same. Probably Kean was appointed by the Slime Minister to help make sure the Liberals stayed fully woke and remained fanatically committed to Paris, as they are.
Don’t believe Liberals when they tell you they have abandoned Net Zero. They have only abandoned “Net Zero by 2050”. If anything they have only postponed it and I don’t believe them with that either.
They are not an alternative. Voting for Liberals is only slightly less bad than voting for Green/Teal/Labor.
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This might be true if Uzbekistan were a low-lying coastal country in which the world’s leading banks were headquartered. It is, however, a landlocked mountainous country with scant economic resources.
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Here’s Dr Rosling’s 6 minute BBC stats video plotting 120,000 data points from 1810 to 2010.
This plots countries’ health and wealth from the near start of the Industrial REV and finishes in 2010.
We’re a long way from Dr Rosling’s poor and sick corner today and yet most people still haven’t got a clue.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jbkSRLYSojo&t=83s
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“AGL pulls pin on Victorian offshore windfarm project. The decision marks the highest-profile exit from Victoria’s offshore sector to date and underscores the challenges facing Australia’s most fossil fuel-dependent state”.
and
“Dan’s big build leaves a big bill, with no relief in sight. Daniel Andrews transformed Victoria from one of Australia’s most fiscally prudent states into its most indebted, leaving behind a $235bn debt legacy that threatens the nation’s finances”.
Sadly with a billion++ $$$ AFL Stadium now on foot and several other essential climate change induced projects approved Tasmania won’t be far behind! We’ll be two impoverished states joined at the hip with a Bass Strait umbilical cord
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Thanks, got links for those stories?
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AGL Energy abandons major offshore windfarm project in a blow to Victoria’s green transition
COLIN PACKHAM
AGL Energy has abandoned its offshore wind-powered generation ambitions in Victoria, dealing a fresh blow to the state’s efforts to replace coal with zero-emission power.
It’s also a setback to the federal government’s hopes of convincing developers to stay in the sector.
The decision marks the highest-profile exit from Victoria’s offshore wind-generation sector to date and underscores the challenges facing Australia’s most fossil fuel-dependent state.
The company, along with its partners, has surrendered its so-called feasibility licence for a project in Gippsland, effectively halting plans to explore the potential for running large-scale offshore turbines in the region.
Victoria has placed offshore generation at the centre of its strategy to reduce emissions and secure new energy sources as coal-fired power plants are decommissioned over the next decade.
Two other offshore wind-powered generation projects have already been shelved, raising concerns about the state’s ability to deliver on its 2032 offshore wind target. Another nine developments remain, although only a few are undergoing substantial works.
The federal government has attempted to prop up developments by waiving ongoing licence fees – reportedly worth close to $1m annually – but this has done little to stem the withdrawals so far.
The viability of the industry was further dented when the Victorian government postponed a scheduled auction which developers said was critical to provide clarity. The Victorian government had previously denied a report by The Australian that a delay to the auction was under consideration.
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Dan’s big build leaves a big bill, with no relief in sight
Daniel Andrews transformed Victoria from one of Australia’s most fiscally prudent states into its most indebted, leaving behind a $235bn debt legacy that threatens the nation’s finances.
Adam Creighton
Daniel Andrews transformed Victoria from one of Australia’s most fiscally prudent states into its most indebted, leaving behind a $235bn debt legacy that threatens the nation’s finances.
Andrews recalled being told by his political mentor and hero “never to waste a day”.
He certainly didn’t in transforming Victoria from one of the most fiscally prudent jurisdictions in the country to one of the most indebted, with painful years of adjustment ahead for Victorians and potentially the rest of Australia, too.
Even if unclear to the average voter who naturally associates him with destructive pandemic restrictions, Andrews’ most harmful and enduring legacy is in public finance.
The figures are startling. In June 2023, a few months before Andrews retired from politics, Victoria’s net debt stood at almost $117bn, a $96bn absolute increase, or more than five times greater than what he had inherited from the Napthine government in November 2014.
In his last budget before leaving office in late 2023, Andrews projected net debt to surge to a forecast $171bn across the next four years – almost eight times the 2019 level. As it turned out, that was optimistic. Jacinta Allan, Andrews’ successor and former cabinet colleague, has pencilled in net debt of $235bn by mid-2029 using a broader estimate that includes government non-financial corporations.
Shockingly reckless increases in spending were to blame: for the 2026 financial year $107bn, up from less than $70bn before 2020 – a 55 per cent increase, vastly more than the state’s population growth of about 8 per cent across the same period and similarly ahead of inflation.
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Thanks OldOzzie, I couldn’t access them because I cancelled my subscription to The Australian a few years ago in an act of petty revenge over some pathetic political position they took which I can’t even remember now.
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My comment in The Australian today:
The Potsdam Institute is one of the world’s leading alarmist organisations and have often been wrong in their many dire predictions. They were involved in a letter to the U.S. President in January 1974, predicting global famines by 2000, melting of all ice caps by 2014, end of snow in England by 2015, etc., etc. In 2007, the Climategate emails included the statement that the 2C “tipping point” was plucked out of thin air in 1990 by PIK. In 2021, the same journal that removed their current article also refuted a PIK article that claimed that a warm Arctic is caused by very cold conditions. (PIK had misinterpreted a short-term effect as long-term.) Undaunted by all these failures, PIK in 2023 claimed a “tipping point” in Greenland’s ice cover with a six-foot rise in sea level.
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But the damage has been done and can only be repaired with great difficulty. Hence mission accomplished and we can now safely and with faked humility retract the falsehoods.
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