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Wednesday

***Auroras being seen all over NSW Victoria Tasmania and NZ  tonight.***

See Glendale app!

AURORA WATCH   —  This week has been one of the most active of this whole solar cycle. A major X5.1 Class Flare went off at 8pm AEST time yesterday from Sunspot AR4274. The strongest flare for a year. It appears to be full halo — which means is is probably aimed at Earth. There may be auroras on Nov 13th, especially since there were two smaller X class flares in the last couple of days. Sometimes a stacked set of strong solar flares can give a bigger show.

See Glendale App.             SpaceWeatherLive.         Or X (Twitter)     BoM space Weather.

 

 

9.7 out of 10 based on 39 ratings

116 comments to Wednesday

  • #
    tonyb

    Armistice day today. So we attended a local outdoor service. Even though the forecast was dire the rain held off.

    It was very well attended, with all the local schools represented. It was held at the war memorial outside the church which was bombed in 1943, killing 21 children at Sunday school and 3 of their teachers.

    This is not an area that would have been expected to be bombed but the enemy planes, after blitzing the naval dockyards at Plymouth, would then drop their surplus bombs to lighten their load before swinging across the Channel to their bases in occupied France.

    The names of all those who had died in the armed forces during both world wars was read out, a horrifying several hundred from what is only a small community.

    it was a very traditional service and it was gratifying that without prompting all the children knew the words of the Lords prayer and the National Anthem.

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  • #
    tonyb

    I have mentioned this subject several times. It concerns the huge amount of balsa wood used for wind turbines.

    What with steel, concrete and balsa wood and an effectiveness of 22% for onshore and 32% for offshore wind, it is not very environmentally friendly and can only exist through large subsidies

    https://dailysceptic.org/2025/11/10/shock-cop-dirty-secret-at-least-half-the-balsa-wood-in-wind-turbine-blades-is-illegally-logged-in-amazonian-rainforests/

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    • #
      RickWill

      Wind turbines are a passing fad. They are 1200 year old technology that made a brief comeback. It is now ending. China is yet to hit the wall but it is not far off now because WDGs are serving around 25% of the market. It gets difficult now because they start to impact on the economics of the reliable generators.

      Battery firmed solar is around 4X the cost of running coal flat out at present costs. So once the WDGs impact on running the coal flat out, the overall costs go up.

      India has quite a way to go yet before they hit the wall but their focus is just getting electricity to people.

      None of the current wind turbines in Australia will be replaced after they are condemned. They are stranded assets in Australia already and it gets clearer every day.

      Battery firmed solar makes some sense for distributed residential networks but not for energy intensive industry.

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      • #
        Rossini

        “WDG”?

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      • #

        Rick mentions this (my bolding here:)

        India has quite a way to go yet before they hit the wall but their focus is just getting electricity to people.

        No matter how much you ignore them, they still get in your way.

        Shopping centre ‘spruikers’, this guy touting renewables.

        Even despite my exasperated look, he still persisted, so ….. bugger you mate, this is a challenge.

        He diverted, saying India was forging ahead with renewables.

        I asked him how many people have electrical power in their homes ….. (blank look) so I told him. His response was ….. well that’s buII$hit for a start. (nice response from a supposedly ‘polite’ spruiker) So I just walked away ….. no point really.

        The population of India is 1465 Million, (Australia 28 Million) so, greater than Australia by a factor of 52.3

        Total Power generated in India 1824TWH, (Australia 280TWH) so greater than Australia by only ….. 6.5

        Total Power to Residential sector in India is 25%, so just 456 TWH going to that Residential sector, you know, power to actual homes where people live.

        So total generated power in Oz is 280TWH, and only 1.6times that power is all there is for 1465 million people in their homes.

        Huh!

        Umm, someone’s missing out is my guess, and that would be a shirtload of people!

        Tony.

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      • #

        I agree Windmills are a passing fad … except for isolated areas where connection to low-cost reliable hydro-carbon generators is too expensive. The same non-science non-engineering non-economics fad occurred in the 1970s when academia also went mad for wind. The problem is that its a very old technology and whilst there may have been improvements since the windmills were replaced by hydro-carbon generators, there have also been massive improvements in hydro-carbon generators which means they are still a lot better than wind.

        Most of us will live to see the news stories about acres of rusting windmills that used to belong to companies that went bust and which are now far too costly for anyone to decomission.

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  • #
    tonyb

    Has President Xi of China reached the end of the road? This is something that El Gordo, I think, has been predicting for some months

    https://www.conservativewoman.co.uk/fear-and-loathing-behind-chinas-deal-with-the-us/

    The Presidents powers seems to have been curtailed, so we will wait to see if he remains a figurehead or actually deposed.

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    • #
      Skepticynic

      He’s being kept in a box as as a titular leader and wheeled out to ceremonially preside over special events like Jeremy Bentham at University College London who died 200 years ago but is still wheeled out to be registered as attending.
      A bit like the previous POTUS.

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      • #
        Graeme No.3

        A solution to Ed Milli**** ?
        Put him in a glass case and wheel him out for ceremonial occasions.

        60

        • #
          Graham Richards

          Put him in a glass case & keep him in the laboratory as a warning to others about this species of idiocy!,

          50

      • #
        TdeF

        Really Biden was kept at his beach house most days. It was weekend at Biden’s. And the press said nothing. If Trump played a game of golf on Saturday the press claimed it was dereliction of duty.

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    • #
      Vladimir

      It seems that EG knew something indeed…
      The respectable Russian generals last week talked about Emperor’s childhood friend (even their fathers were friends) in glowing terms.
      Why?

      50

    • #
      Tel

      El Gordo has been predicting much the same thing for years, and Xi is only human … so like a broken clock, sooner or later Gordo will be right.

      Don’t hold your breath though.

      When Xi is gone, China will no doubt keep doing much the same, only under different leadership. I’m guessing perhaps they don’t really want to start anything over Taiwan, since keeping the status quo is probably making them a lot of money. A new leader could take a softer stance without losing face.

      40

      • #
        el+gordo

        Its only been a year since the coup began, it was around the time that Xi had a mini stroke and Zhang began taking control of the whole military.

        The important thing is that there is precedence, after Mao died and the Gang of Four were eliminated by the reformers, the elders decided to keep Hua Guofeng as leader for a couple of years as a useful idiot.

        Xi will play a ceremonial role, but behind the scenes Wang Yang is the master of ceremonies. They have told Xi to behave or we’ll arrest you for the murder of Likeqiang.

        ‘A new leader could take a softer stance without losing face.’

        Taiwan is no longer the objective, they want the land back that Russia stole from them in the mid 19th century. They are converting civilian ferries for the purpose of landing troops north of the border.

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    • #
      KP

      “It is an economic advance that has foundered under Xi Jinping; in his 13 years in power, totalitarian Maoist ideology has been prioritised over economic pragmatism. The result has been a collapse in foreign direct investment, a rise in youth unemployment to nearly 20 per cent and a dramatic slowdown in economic growth.”

      Well, that paragraph has nothing to do with Xi, the collapse in foreign investment is due to the success of his economic policies before. You cannot keep 10% growth year in and year out, it gets more and more difficult each time. Look at Japan, the last wonder-economy of the 60s.

      The rise in youth unemployment is a totally expected result of the above, while the background problems came from the typical Communist 5-year plans that never used to work for Russia either. The lack of free currency movement led the people to invest in internal property, the Govt happily poured money into via their 5-year plan, and as it will in Aussie, the property bubble burst with dire results for the overheated economy.

      Nothing to do with Xi, just the way Communism works in dragging a 3rd-world country in the 20th century, it goes up and down in waves.

      00

  • #
    MeAgain

    https://www.experimental-history.com/p/the-decline-of-deviance

    Ever feel it is all getting more and more boring?

    The sculptor Arturo di Modica ran away from his home in Sicily to go study art in Florence. He later immigrated to the US, working as a mechanic and a hospital technician to support himself while he did his art. Eventually he saved up enough to buy a dilapidated building in lower Manhattan, which he tore it down so he could illegally build his own studio—including two sub-basements—by hand, becoming an underground artist in the literal sense. He refused to work with an art dealer until 2012, when he was in his 70s. His most famous work, the Charging Bull statue that now lives on Wall Street, was deposited there without permission or payment; it was originally impounded before public outcry caused the city to put it back. Di Modica didn’t mean it as an avatar of capitalism—the stock market had tanked in 1987, and he intended the bull to symbolize resilience and self-reliance:

    My point was to show people that if you want to do something in a moment things are very bad, you can do it. You can do it by yourself. My point was that you must be strong.

    Meanwhile, “Fearless Girl”, the statue of a girl standing defiantly with her hands on her hips that was installed in front of the bull in 2017, was commissioned by an investment company to promote a new index fund.

    30

  • #
  • #

    My latest COP 30 coverage:

    https://www.cfact.org/2025/11/10/alarmists-play-long-game-at-cop-30/

    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2025/11/10/alarmists-play-long-game-at-cop30/

    The beginning: “Climate alarmism has been seriously stalled by a combination of President Trump and unfavorable economic conditions. So, the diplomats laboring at COP30 are working on long-term issues, hoping for better “weather,” as it were. They are still very busy negotiating the future.

    Major policy initiatives often take a decade or more, so while subdued, the work has not slowed down. Rumors of the death of alarmism are greatly exaggerated. The greens are just biding their time.”

    Lots more in the article.

    141

    • #
      OldOzzie

      Tide slowly changing? – Sydney Moaning Herald – Third of voters want net zero gone as Coalition meets to decide position

      Almost one in three Australians want the Albanese government to dump its commitment to net zero emissions by 2050 on the eve of a Coalition meeting where it is expected to formalise its climate policy after months of infighting.

      Almost half of those surveyed in an exclusive poll thought that Australia would not meet its 2030 emissions-reduction target of 43 per cent against 2005 levels. The nation is set to fall short of the goal on its current trajectory, but 22 per cent still believed it would reach the 2030 target, while the other 29 per cent were unsure.

      The Resolve Political Monitor survey conducted for this masthead found that just over a quarter of those surveyed supported the retention of the net zero target, with 26 per cent believing that Australia should do “everything it takes to meet it”. A further 28 per cent thought net zero should be an “aspirational goal” rather than a “binding target”.

      In a blow to the government’s policy, 31 per cent preferred options in favour of abandoning the net zero target – 19 per cent accepting of “action on emissions where affordable” and 12 per cent wanting “little or no action” on climate change. Another 15 per cent of voters were undecided.

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    • #

      Climate Alarmism will never disappear. But now people have seen the huge costs and they are voting against those pushing a Nut Zero agenda.

      And I guarantee that even the most ardent alarmists, will suddenly become sceptics when they hear that their University or their cushy government job is disappearing, because there just isn’t any money left due to the Nut Zero agenda.

      It’s all about spending other people’s money … until it gets real and they stand to lose personally then suddenly they are all becoming sceptics.

      The irony of Nut Zero, is that most of those supporting it are in the “luxury” end of the public sector like environment which will see the first job cuts.

      00

  • #
    MeAgain

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-11-11/princess-anne-lays-wreath-in-brisbane-gallipoli-barracks/105996150 – Have we run out of dress uniforms? – when do you meet a princess on Remembrance Day in camos with your face painted? And why does one of them have scissors in their war kit?

    40

  • #
    David Maddison

    It’s taken years to do the obvious, but the International Olympic Commmittee (IOC) has finally banned men from women’s sports.

    Irene BritUSA discusses:

    https://youtu.be/CCqXnyEi0uo

    Men are still allowed in many women’s sport codes in fully woke Australia however. E.g. certain soccer teams:

    https://www.news.com.au/sport/football/womens-team-with-five-trans-players-dominates-womens-football-tournament/news-story/481e3242bb1d570de599a38e1f33a7cf

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    • #
      TdeF

      It made no sense to have a woman specific competition if you allowed men to play. You can identify as you please because everyone is free to compete in the men’s events, no matter how confused they are.
      Allowing men to compete in women’s events was abuse of women’s rights and utterly wrong and illogical. Now all records and prizes achieved by absurd fake women should be removed. It made as much sense as gays for Palestine.

      200

      • #
        David Maddison

        According to the video about 900 medals have inappropriately been awarded to men in women’s sports so they need to be taken away from the cheats and returned to the rightful winners.

        170

        • #
          Eng_Ian

          It might work out for foot races and similar, (whoever finished first after those eliminated wins), but how do you give out a medal to a boxing competitor who SHOULD have won but was eliminated by the male in the first round?

          This whole business of mentally damaged people playing sport for the wrong team is going to go down in history for all the wrong reasons. We used to help these people with their problems, now we have to not only accept them, we have to promote them.

          80

  • #
    David Maddison

    Here is an interesting video about George Washington and the Washington Monument.

    https://youtu.be/t2EDoQhZtmk

    Also see https://www.tms.org/pubs/journals/jom/9511/binczewski-9511.html
    for a history of the aluminium pyramidion on top of the monument. It was put there because at the time aluminium was regarded as a rare precious metal more valuable than silver because at the time the Hall–Héroult ekectrolytic process had not yet been invented and it was produced chemically at great expense.

    (Sadly, Australia is shutting down its aluminium smelters due to expensive “renewable” electricity, the chemical process would be too expensive to replace electrolytic aluminium.)

    60

    • #
      TdeF

      A favorite story of mine. Alumin(i)um went from the world’s most expensive metal to the cheapest. The same thing may be happening today with diamonds. There was a National Geographic edition years ago on the history of Aluminum. Famously Napoleon III had a ridiculously expensive aluminum rattle as a baby.

      50

  • #
    David Maddison

    9.2C here in Melbournistan at 713am according to my weather station but overnight I saw it go much lower than that.

    Back in the day before all this “global warming” it was often good beach weather in Melbournistan this time of year.

    110

    • #
      Graeme No.3

      I haven’t an outdoor thermometer but the BOM** forecast 3C here in the Adelaide Hills (across a good deal of southern SA outside Adelaide). It certainly felt it. Inside room temperature was lower than some months.
      Should we warm NZ correspondents about the possible “global warming” coming?

      ** I think of BOM as the Bureau of Mistakes. It seems that this time they got it right.

      90

      • #
        Greg in NZ

        Graeme No.3 – who, us, worry?

        NZ’s hottest and windiest EVAAAH was 50 years ago in the early 1970s, nothing since has come close: 42.4 C and 250 km/h, both recorded in the South Island of all places. Since then, it’s been all downhill, apart from a few pleasant warm spikes we call ‘summer’.

        Luckily when you guys get hammered, ie. cold, we’re enjoying warm pre-frontal bliss and the occasional sub-tropical low, as is the case today. However with the sun throwing a little wobbly, who knows what surprises we may be in for this month: I’m off to fill up my tank with diesel…

        90

    • #
      TdeF

      I cannot get over world temperature records to 0.001C based on proxies for most of the planet. How on earth do they have the temperature of Antarctica in the 18th century to any accuracy? Or most of the oceans or the high mountains or deserts? And the BOM refuses to digitize its written records which would have shown the true length and severity of the Federation drought. All presumably to support the myth that everything in the Southern Hemisphere is warming too, because that’s not true. Antarctica is coooing rapidly, as predicted.

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      • #
        David Maddison

        One of the first lessons in science and statistics is warnings about inappropriate extrapolation, especially beyond the bounds of the data set, at least it used to be back in the day.

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        • #
          TdeF

          The other is about just making it up. Who checks the proxies used for the Southern Hemisphere? Or is every source of temperature by proxy assumed to be correct and infinitely accurate to one thousandth of a degree? It’s one thing to have no choice but a proxy and quite another to ignore the real data from the only country in the 19th century in the Southern Hemisphere with very good hand written and meticulously recorded temperatures and rainfall. Australia.

          As I remember the world’s highest temperature was expunged and ignored because it was measured and written on a Sunday and the person responsible was not obliged to record it on a Sunday, so it must be fake. In fact the motivation to record it would have been immense for any responsible adult with the very boring job of recording daily temperatures. Saves all that homogenization and supports the BOM need to create Global Warming. Because that’s where the opportunities are. The creation of a world wide Global Warming dataset must be immense, especially from the UN/IPCC/WMO/NOAA/NASA who are all in it together. Inconvenient truth is amended, homogenized, deleted or neglected.

          170

    • #
      Annie

      It was 0.9C here at 0616, in the low part of the high country in Nth Central Vic. The stove is keeping us warm in nearly mid-November!

      80

  • #
    David Maddison

    When Australia shuts down its last aluminium smelters due to expensive “renewables”, and not even the substantial taxpayer subsidies that are already paid can support them, I fully expect the cost of locally produced aluminium building materials and food packaging to go up even further.

    We are in a rapid regressions to a new “green” Stone Age with Net Zero Prosperity.

    160

    • #
      RickWill

      A good proportion of the aluminium sections now sold in Australia come from China already. So China is already competitive with local production. And with grid electricity prices headed to the stratosphere, the cost of extruding in Australia is going the same way.

      The cheapest form of electricity to the load in Australia, by a long margin, is primarily battery firmed rooftop with gas topping. So if your business does not have the roof area to power your facility you should move your business to Asia.

      This will remain the situation until there is no semi-scheduled category bidding in the NEM. The remaining coal plants need to by running flat out to lower the cost of electricity.

      40

      • #
        Robert Swan

        RickWill,

        if your business does not have the roof area to power your facility you should move your business to Asia

        That’s going to make it quite a nuisance getting the car serviced!

        80

      • #
        Chad

        60
        #
        RickWill
        November 12, 2025 at 6:48 am · Reply
        A good proportion of the aluminium sections now sold in Australia come from China already. So China is already competitive with local production. And with grid electricity prices headed to the stratosphere, the cost of extruding in Australia is going the same way

        In a previous life i worked in an industry that used many thousands of tons of Aluminium rolled strip. We were a primary customer of Alcoa which enabled us access to priority pricing ( and significant “undisclosed rebates” ?), but even 15-20 years ago we still realised overseas suppliers ( Asia) were significantly cheaper…even allowing for international shipping !

        30

    • #
      Stuart Jones

      but there will be enough electricity available to homes without the drain of the smelter, maybe thats the plan to support the network when renewables fail.

      00

  • #
    another ian

    FWIW – a message for “ElBowen”

    “Daily Express: Starmer’s Climate Policies are Making you Poorer”

    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2025/11/11/daily-express-starmers-climate-policies-are-making-you-poorer/

    50

  • #
    David Maddison

    The Victorian Premier fully backs the latest native title claim over Melbourne by the Wurundjeri tribe. It is a massive area, much bigger than Melbourne. Expect much tribute to be paid from your taxes. I don’t believe for a moment the Premier’s claim that private property won’t be affected but in any case we all use public lands for various purposes and that will be affected.

    https://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/victoria/wurundjeri-people-lodge-massive-native-title-claim-for-victoria-with-premiers-support/news-story/ffc28386ddd06a4e20259e7c0f78c064

    Wurundjeri people lodge massive Native Title claim for Victoria with Premier’s support

    Premier Jacinta Allan has backed a landmark native title claim by the Wurundjeri Woiwurrung people over Melbourne’s metropolitan area, insisting it will not impact private property.

    Sky News host Peta Credlin discusses the Victorian parliament’s debated ‘Statewide Treaty Bill’. “When just over 60 per cent of Australians voted ‘no’ to a constitutionally entrenched Aboriginal Voice, that should have put an end to indigenous separatism everywhere,” Ms Credlin said. “But … state Labor governments are still full steam ahead with their own versions of the Voice, and nowhere is this more advanced than Victoria. “The Victorian parliament is debating what’s called the ‘Statewide Treaty Bill’, and if it passes, it will establish what’s to be called Gellung Warl, a phrase from one of the Aboriginal groups in the Gippsland region that means, so we’re told, ‘pointed spear’. “It will be a whole new statutory body incorporating the existing First Peoples’ Assembly plus two further entities.”

    Premier Jacinta Allan has thrown her support behind an Indigenous group’s claim over most of Melbourne’s metropolitan area.

    SEE LINK FOR REST (PAYWALLED)

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    • #
      Skepticynic

      >The Victorian parliament is debating what’s called the ‘Statewide Treaty Bill’, and if it passes, it will establish what’s to be called Gellung Warl

      That’s only the tip of the spear! Wait for the thrust.

      20

    • #
      KP

      “Premier Jacinta Allan has backed a landmark native title claim ”

      They voted her in, they deserve to get it good and hard!

      10

  • #
    RickWill

    Who else has been advised their mobile handset will be cut off from the mobile network due to the government taking control of the triple-0 service?

    And it is not a scam if you got a text advising you of this. The ombudsmen has been flooded with complaints but say it is a problem for the service provider to resolve. Some handsets just a few years old are incompatible so are now junk.

    20

    • #
      David Maddison

      I thought that had already happened due to the closure of the 3G network but as you say there are even modern handsets with compatibility issues.

      The issue remains with Voice over LTE (VoLTE) for emergency calls which not all modern handsets support. So you can gave a 4G/5G handset that doesn’t support emergency calls.

      Shutting down the 3G network was an appallingy bad decision which few other countries were stupid enough to do so prematurely.

      On the other hand, in modern day Australia you might be waiting a LONG time for police or ambulance attendance so it might not matter in practice. You will die anyway.

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      • #
        RickWill

        This is not related to shutting down the 3G network. I think it is to do with government action after the Optus triple-0 failure.

        This explains the rule change:
        https://www.acma.gov.au/articles/2024-10/new-telco-rules-support-continued-access-triple-zero

        And I know it affects Samsung phones of recent vintage. But also there makes. This story covers Samsung:
        ‘Issue for the telcos’: Anthony Albanese passes buck over 71 Samsung devices unable to call triple-0
        The Albanese government has ruled out any financial assistance to Australians whose mobile phone may be unable to call triple-0.

        https://www.skynews.com.au/breaking-news/issue-for-the-telcos-anthony-albanese-passes-buck-over-71-samsung-devices-unable-to-call-triple0/news-story/7d22b2ca8720884b7be395d454062647

        But I know it affects other makes of phones as well because I have seen some of the complaints.

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        • #
          David Maddison

          I think it does relate to the closure of 3G because 000 calls because a 4G or 5G phone that didn’t support Voice over LTE (VoLTE) for emergency calls could fall back to 3G.

          Gulag AI says:

          The problem: Many older 4G and early 5G phones lack VoLTE (Voice over LTE), the technology needed to make voice calls on 4G/5G networks. Instead, they automatically switch to the 3G network to make and receive voice calls, including emergency calls.

          The 3G shutdown: Since the 3G network is being phased out, these phones can no longer connect to it for voice services.

          The consequence: Without the ability to fall back to 3G, and without the ability to make emergency calls over 4G/5G, these phones are blocked from making emergency calls and are no longer fit for purpose.

          No 3G network. No fallback for emergency calls for 4G and 5G phones that don’t support Voice over LTE (VoLTE) for emergency calls.

          20

          • #
            RickWill

            Yes – it appears to be an issue in Australia as you describe.

            Samsung offer a software upgrade for the issue on a number of their phones so it is not a hardware problem.

            In any case, I find it hard to believe that I am the only one here who has been told their handset is now useless.

            I have done a software update on the Samsung phone that Vodaphone said would be disconnected and then checked with texting ‘3’ to 3498 and it said it is OK. However I am not certain this is how Vodaphione will view it. They have stated the handset will be shut off from the network.

            10

            • #
              David Maddison

              I try to avoid updates to phones and printers because 1) I think at some point phone updates work to deliberately slow the phone down as they have been proven to do in some cases and 2) I think printer updates often prevent you using compatible but non-OEM cartridges.

              10

        • #
          David Maddison

          For Vodafone you can text the numeral 3 to the number 3498 to check your device compatibility.

          Not sure the numbers for other networks.

          10

          • #
            RickWill

            My wife’s phone responds that it is compatible with 4G/5G network. We did not check if it failed before the software update.

            So are you giving a full guarantee that Vodphone will not block her phone on Dec 10 as they threatened?
            New regulations require devices not configured to access emergency 000 calling to be blocked from using voice, SMS and data services. This applies across all mobile providers in Australia.

            Given uncertainty on the compliance of the device/s below, these device types are no longer permitted to be used on our network.

            10

    • #
      David Maddison

      Silicon Chip magazine had an editorial on the matter in January.

      https://www.siliconchip.com.au/Issue/SC/2025/January/As+expected%2C+the+3G+shutdown+was+messy

      20

    • #
      liberator

      Yeah we got an email from our provider telling us that we needed to update the software on our phone(s) so in the event that Telstra/Optus go down at the same time, the phone can switch to the Vodaphone network to allow 000 calls to be made.

      Phones now have to have Android 13 at a minimum. Trouble is my partners phone has Android 9 and despite trying, it can no longer be updated to the latest version of Android. Her phone will eventually be blocked from calls/messages etc, so essentially, it’s bricked.

      The phone works perfectly fine and does all she needs it for but now it’s obsolete because Samsung won’t allow it to be updated to the latest android. The government says to the telecom providers it must be blocked from the network if it’s not updated. So are they going to buy us a new phone? Built in obsolescence! Now we have to go and buy a new phone because the government certainly wont!

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      • #
        RickWill

        I appreciate the reply.

        I put a complaint into the ombudsman who has put pressure on Vodaphone to resolve. My wife bought a new phone but her old one is only 5 years old and works fine. The software has been updated but I do not think DM’s test is valid for this issue.

        10

  • #
    another ian

    FWIW

    “EV Progress”

    “Jeep 4xe Hybrids Turning Out to Be a Hot Number…Literally”

    https://hotair.com/tree-hugging-sister/2025/11/11/jeep-4xe-hybrids-turning-out-to-be-a-hot-numberliterally-n3808787

    20

  • #
    MrGrimNasty

    Turkish C130 seems to have broken up mid-air. Cause as yet unknown. Sabotage or accidental shooting down doesn’t seem too hard to imagine. Doesn’t appear to be any obvious fire before it hits the ground, I think the ‘smoke’ is probably fuel from the wing tanks and/or vapour.

    https://aerospaceglobalnews.com/news/turkish-c-130-hercules-mid-air-break-up-crash/

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    • #
      another ian

      FWIW

      From discussion around the sudden (very overweight) arrival of a C 130 at a small Oz airport – it seems engine fires do not mix well with their wing spars

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    Graeme No.3

    Have been looking at some NASA figures. Those showing very little change in “world temperatures” over 1800 to 1900 with no sign of “the year without summer (1816) which was seen across Asia, Europe (including the UK) and the USA. The warming time in 1817 which caused Sir Joseph Banks to alert The Admiralty about lots of ice melting on Greenland’s shores. Nor the cold times in the 1840-1860 when the Franklin expedition perished in the ice. Or the warm period in the 1860’s when Swiss hoteliers complained to their Government about the glaciers melting (affecting Ice Tourists business) nor the original complaint about the glaciers in Montana about to disappear (repeated in the 1920’s, 1950’s, 2000’s, and 2021 (after the signs were dismantled), nor the cold times after the Krakatau eruption in the late 1880-1900.

    However
    World temperature in 1900 shows a rise of 0.3℃ from 1850 due to World emissions up 10.2 times
    1900 to 1940 World temperature shows a rise of 0.4℃ due to World emissions up 2.5 times
    1940 to 1970 World temperature shows a rise of 0.02℃ due to World emissions up 4.2 times
    1970 to 2000 World temperature shows a rise of 0.94℃ due to World emissions up 1.71 times

    It seems that Climate “Scientists” haven’t heard of the Beer Lambert law.

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    another ian

    FWIW – for the covid record

    “Peer-Reviewed Study in Germany CRUSHES the COVID-19 Narrative Around PCR Tests Accuracy”

    https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2025/11/peer-reviewed-study-germany-crushes-covid-19-narrative/

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    another ian

    FWIW – latest Kunstler

    “Winter Storm Watch
    “We live in the dumbest of times and Democrats are truly led by the dumbest of all of us.” —Sean Davis, The Federalist”

    https://www.kunstler.com/p/winter-storm-watch

    And

    https://www.kunstler.com/p/november-2025-eyesore

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    another ian

    FWIW

    “Guardian: Aussie Climate Believers are Self Eliminating from the Gene Pool”

    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2025/11/10/guardian-aussie-climate-believers-are-self-eliminating-from-the-gene-pool/

    But then this –

    “Dreaming of the Infinite”

    https://accordingtohoyt.com/2025/11/11/dreaming-of-the-infinite/

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    • #
      OldOzzie

      The survey – which involved a nationally representative sample of 2,000 people – found Labor, Greens and independent voters were three times more likely to express high levels of concern about climate change compared with conservative voters.

      Concern about climate change was also much more strongly correlated with education level than with age.

      The survey notes a correlation between level of tertiary education vs concern about climate change.

      One possible explanation, advanced, is this might be because people with more advanced educations better understand the dangers we face from climate change.

      Or it could be participation or response bias.

      It is pretty risky these days for anyone interested in an Australian academia related career to be outed as a climate skeptic.

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        RickWill

        The better explanation is that academia is a place where you do well if you can regurgitate the stories you are told. There is zero original thought in those places. So they produce regurgitates who have no ability to think for themselves.

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          Honk R Smith

          Yes, Regurgitatories.
          That was my experience in the early 70s.
          It’s even worse.
          It is required to regurgitate the doctrine of each specific discipline.
          This happened to me directly.
          I dared to regurgitate a fact from one class in another.
          It was ugly.
          (My fault really for not being a compliant regurgitator.)

          But, I was an undergrad and not been yet accepted into one of the guilds.
          And never was.
          For most of my life, I thought it was me.
          A bit too late, but now know different.

          It is darkly interesting to me to have been born in the Space Age, thinking that mankind had finally evolved out of superstition into rationality.
          Now I think there was an actual Pandemic in 1347 and a fake one on 2019/20.
          And that Academia is rife with religious hysterics that are just a few steps away from resurrecting human sacrifice.
          Providing that the COVID vax doesn’t turn out to be exactly that.

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          • #
            Honk R Smith

            I suddenly occurs to me that all intelligence may depend on social intelligence.
            Barley possible for actual intelligence to advance without surviving the social intelligence Darwin game.
            Which would explain the flaw in my own intelligence.

            A fact must first negotiate the social maze to emergence.
            Which I guess is on display at this very moment with the Climate issue.

            10

  • #
    John Connor II

    Hydrogen power!

    For efficient hydration you can now buy Hydrogen-infused water.

    https://hfactorwater.com/?product=colors&variant=46443567317224

    Another fine product for the masses.

    Next up, a solar-infused energy grid. 😆

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    • #
      David Maddison

      They give a quote on the website but no reference but I traced it to:

      https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3788323/

      Molecular Hydrogen: New Antioxidant and Anti-inflammatory Therapy for Rheumatoid Arthritis and Related Diseases

      In the study, patients were administered water containing 4-5 ppm H2 (high H2 water). By drinking 500 ml of the high H2 water daily for four weeks, oxidative stress was effectively reduced and the disease activity in RA was significantly improved. H2 seemed to have complemented conventional RA therapy by reducing oxidative stress. At least in the early stage of disease progression and among ACPA-negative patients, H2 seems to have a potential to assist with diagnosis and treatment of non-aggressive or transient RA. Also considering the crossing mechanisms shown in (Fig. 2), we expect that the development of atherosclerosis in RA patients could be slowed or even prevented by the daily uptake of H2 (shown in Fig. 2).

      So it’s not entirely baseless but I very much doubt hydrogen would stay in the water for very long, even in a sealed container. I would think you’d have to infuse the hydrogen immediately before consumption for maximum effectiveness. An unexpected result.

      20

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    John Connor II

    Chiba’s Hongqi bridge collapses months after reopening from last collapse

    https://twitter.com/fracta70911/status/1988254757878628587

    The ground shifted…
    I guess the engineers will all be looking for new jobs.
    Maybe try the Australian renewables sector – I believe there may be openings soon.

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  • #
    John Connor II

    Is AI about to go Dot com?

    First, Oracle:

    https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/oracle-first-ai-domino-drop-after-barclays-downgrades-its-debt-sell
    Paywalled..

    Now Softbank exits NVidia:
    https://x.com/burrytracker/status/1988241876638466398/photo/1

    More detailed info here on the financial fantasy and tricks keeping it all afloat:
    https://substack.com/inbox/post/178568795

    The lies and hype are going south fast. Fake AI (not to be confused with the parallel development of real AI) is getting slapped across the face by reality.

    /who’d have seen this coming. 😎

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  • #
    John Connor II

    You can’t fix stupid: The five laws of human stupidity

    You all know people around you in your industry, workplace, school groups, or PTAs who are just profoundly stupid.

    It hides in every institution, every bureaucracy, every media outlet, and every corporate HR department. It is in your family WhatsApp chat, your local council, and your Parliament.

    Even when you factor in the idiots, you are still not factoring in enough.

    Cipolla saw this decades ago. Today we call it credentialed idiocy. These are the experts who ruin nations with confidence and spreadsheets. The expert class. Think Neil Ferguson, Bill Gates, and so many more. The ruling class that speaks in jargon, manages decline, and congratulates itself on its brilliance as it drives the bus off a cliff.

    https://docmalik.substack.com/p/you-cant-fix-stupid-the-five-laws

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    another ian

    FWIW – “And here we go again”

    “COP30: President Lula Calls for an End to Climate Denialism”

    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2025/11/11/cop30-president-lula-calls-for-an-end-to-climate-denialism/

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  • #
    OldOzzie

    Interesting Long Read – Perhaps Israel could help, given their Knowledge of Water Utilisation?

    MEF – Middle East Forum – The Thirst of a Nation

    Iran’s Water-Driven Trajectory Toward State Failure and a Blueprint for Recovery

    The International Water Recovery Consortium: A Design for Survival

    The success of this recovery plan is entirely contingent on a political transition that brings to power a new Iranian government defined by transparency, accountability, and a strategic embrace of international partnership. The centerpiece of the strategy is the immediate formation of the International Water Recovery Consortium. This would not be a typical donor conference, but an operational alliance of nations with proven, world-class expertise in every facet of water management, whose experts would work hand-in-glove with new Iranian institutions to co-design and implement the recovery. Each partner has been selected for a specific, synergistic role:

    Technology & Governance – Israel: Israel would lead the rapid deployment of cutting-edge technology, overseeing the planning of large-scale seawater reverse osmosis (SWRO) desalination plants and a national wastewater recycling program with a target of 90 percent reuse for agriculture. Critically, experts from Israel’s Water Authority (IWA) would provide the blueprint for a new, unified, and politically independent “Iranian Water Authority,” consolidating all planning, regulatory, and pricing authority under one roof.

    Data & Allocation – Australia: Australia would implement the core principles of its successful Murray-Darling Basin Plan. This would involve creating a national water entitlement register and establishing Sustainable Diversion Limits (SDLs)—legally enforceable caps on water extraction for every one of Iran’s basins, underpinned by modern metering and public transparency.

    Urban Resilience & Pricing – Singapore: Experts from Singapore’s Public Utilities Board (PUB) would design and implement a “Four National Taps” strategy for major cities, integrating all water sources under a single, optimized system. Their most critical contribution would be designing a new national water tariff structure that eliminates destructive subsidies and moves toward full-cost recovery, while incorporating “lifeline” rates to protect the poor.

    Local Governance – The Netherlands: Dutch specialists would provide the model for establishing a network of regional, basin-level Stakeholder Water Boards, modeled on their centuries-old waterschappen system. This would replace Iran’s top-down, opaque system with a democratic model where local stakeholders elect representatives to manage their own water resources.

    Finance & Capital Projects – Saudi Arabia & GCC Partners: Saudi Arabia and its Gulf partners would provide the anchor capital for the multi-billion-dollar infrastructure revitalization, particularly massive desalination and solar energy corridors. This would be framed not as aid, but as a critical strategic investment in regional stability, structured using sophisticated Public-Private Partnership (PPP) and Joint Venture (JV) models.

    10

    • #
      OldOzzie

      Israel Case Study:

      Facing extreme natural water scarcity, Israel has transformed its water economy through a combination of institutional reform, technological innovation, and massive investment.

      Today, it has achieved water security. Key to its success was the 1959 Water Law, which nationalized all water resources and established a single, technocratic Israel Water Authority (IWA) to manage them, insulating decision-making from short-term political pressures.

      This centralized governance enabled a coherent national strategy focused on two pillars: creating new water sources and managing demand. Israel now desalinates over 80 percent of its domestic urban water from the Mediterranean through some of the world’s most efficient reverse osmosis plants.

      It is the global leader in wastewater recycling, treating nearly 90 percent of its effluent to a high standard and reusing it for agriculture.

      his strategy, combined with a national water conveyance system and realistic water pricing, has allowed it to secure its water future.

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    another ian

    FWIW

    Sounds a good idea if true

    “BREAKING: Keirs Starmer’s government is completely falling apart behind the scenes tonight, per Bloomberg

    Starmer has days left…”

    https://x.com/Inevitablewest/status/1988363421960515657

    Via https://instapundit.com/756106/#disqus_thread

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    David Maddison

    Senator Malcolm Roberts is one of the few well qualified and worthy politicians Australia has. Instead of the the arts or law degrees most politicians have he has a BEng(Mech)(Hons) (University of Queensland) and an MBA (University of Chicago).

    He has also done real jobs such as:

    Vineyard labourer, 1973.
    Coal face miner underground, 1977-79.
    Mining engineer, 1979-83.
    Mine management, 1983-84.
    Mine manager, 1984-88.
    General manager, 1990-93.

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    John Connor II

    Skywatch from Lake Tahoe

    https://x.com/MrMBB333/status/1988372692802900341

    Purdy!

    A ‘GROUND LEVEL EVENT’ IS UNDERWAY: Today’s X5-class solar flare from sunspot 4274 hurled a fusillade of energetic protons toward Earth. Some of the particles are so powerful, they are penetrating the atmosphere all the way to the ground. “This is a very significant event,” says Professor Clive Dyer of the Surrey Space Centre. “Neutron monitors around the world are detecting it.”

    Faraday cage on standby.

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    el+gordo

    The latest yarn on 3I/Atlas is incredible, it has divided into two distinct vehicles and one disappeared, instantaneously turning up near Jupiter.

    The two halves then began communicating with each other, believe it or not. This has excited theorists of quantum mechanics.

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    • #
      John Connor II

      Oohh…aliens?

      For the world is hollow, and I have touched the sky.
      ST-TOS s03e08

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    • #
      farmerbraun

      “excited theorists of quantum mechanics”

      Cows have heard these sorts of stories before, and have learned that they usually come to nothing more than a brief period of interest followed by another long period of boring arguments.
      Cows think that some quality research into what cows would prefer to eat would be better for everyone downstream, so to speak.

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        el+gordo

        According to quantum mechanics the radioactive atom is literally in two states at once: decayed and not decayed. It will switch to one of those two states when observed, otherwise its in both states at the same time.

        The quantum theorists are saying 3I/Atlas is an alien craft.

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    John Connor II

    Researchers have discovered that 50% of data transmitted via satellites is unencrypted. This includes your mobile calls and texts, along with banking, military, government, and other sensitive information.

    Every geostationary satellite is equipped with numerous data transponders used by a variety of telecom operators. From their vantage point, the scientists managed to capture signals from 411 transponders across 39 geostationary satellites, successfully obtaining IP traffic from 14.3% of all Ku-band transponders worldwide.

    Considering that there are thousands of transponders in geostationary orbit, and the signal from each one can, under favorable conditions, be received across an area covering up to 40% of the Earth’s surface, this story is genuinely alarming.

    The intercepted traffic included:

    Calls, SMS messages, and internet traffic from end-users; equipment identifiers and cellular encryption keys belonging to various operators, including T-Mobile and AT&T Mexico
    Internet data for users of in-flight Wi-Fi systems installed on commercial passenger aircraft
    Voice traffic from several major VoIP providers, including KPU Telecommunications, Telmex, and WiBo
    Government, law enforcement and military traffic: data originating from U.S. military ships; real-time geolocation and telemetry data from Mexican Armed Forces air, sea and ground assets; and information from Mexican law enforcement agencies — including data on drug trafficking operations and public assemblies
    Corporate data: internal traffic from major financial organizations and banks like Grupo Santander Mexico, Banjército, and Banorte
    Internal traffic from Walmart-Mexico, including details on warehouse inventory and price updates
    Messages from key U.S. and Mexican infrastructure facilities like oil and gas rigs and electricity providers.

    https://satcom.sysnet.ucsd.edu/

    Pi$$poor security yet again…
    Meanwhile Oz has tested a quantum entangled satellite comms system which could replace it all.

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    RickWill

    Listened to the AEMO meeting. My question on stranded assets in SA was not answered although it showed as being answered. There were a total of 11 questions and none particularly searching. More like a student seminar than an industry analysis.

    I will give it another go in January. If it is just as light weight, I will not bother after that. It was not much more than flicking through the report only presented as slides.

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  • #
    John Connor II

    Where we are in the Milky Way

    https://va.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_t5iemphS061z23obp.mp4

    Ooh! There’s heaven. Right a bit, up a bit, in a bit.😆

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    • #
      OldOzzie

      Kind of miniscule are’t we!

      Actually for me it always makes me wonder what is out there – and as to

      How did everything begin? It’s a question that humans have pondered for thousands of years. Over the last century or so, science has homed in on an answer: the Big Bang.

      This describes how the Universe was born in a cataclysmic explosion almost 14 billion years ago. In a tiny fraction of a second, the observable universe grew by the equivalent of a bacterium expanding to the size of the Milky Way. The early universe was extraordinarily hot and extremely dense. But how do we know this happened?

      Let’s look first at the evidence. In 1929, the American astronomer Edwin Hubble discovered that distant galaxies are moving away from each other, leading to the realisation that the universe is expanding. If we were to wind the clock back to the birth of the cosmos, the expansion would reverse and the galaxies would fall on top of each other 14 billion years ago. This age agrees nicely with the ages of the oldest astronomical objects we observe.

      The idea was initially met with scepticism – and it was actually a sceptic, the English astronomer Fred Hoyle, who coined the name. Hoyle sarcastically dismissed the hypothesis as a “Big Bang” during an interview with BBC radio on March 28 1949.

      Then, in 1964, Arno Penzias and Robert Wilson detected a particular type of radiation that fills all of space. This became known as the cosmic microwave background (CMB) radiation. It is a kind of afterglow of the Big Bang explosion, released when the cosmos was a mere 380,000 years old.

      So What was There Before The Big Bang?

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    another ian

    FWIW

    “The plasma storm”

    https://youtu.be/U8vnnkxpEOE

    Via Chiefio

    10

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    another ian

    FWIW

    “Did Bill Gates Really Drop a Bomb on Climate Catastrophism?”

    “Clearly, the global environmental movement is not backing off from climate catastrophism, no matter what Bill Gates says. With or without him, it’s going to step up the pressure.”

    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2025/11/11/did-bill-gates-really-drop-a-bomb-on-climate-catastrophism/

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  • #
    Don Gaddes

    Tracking the Dry Cycle ‘Shift’.

    Further to the thirty degrees Westward movement (Drift,) between the Start Longitudes of each subsequent Regional or Minor Cycle, (As described by Alex S. Gaddes in his chapter 8, ‘The Drifting Droughts’) :
    If we take the Start Longitude and Start Date of the 2017/19 Regional Dry Cycle and add Longitudinal Precipitation Data, we find major flooding events due West of 80 degrees East of Prime in early/mid-March 2019. This would indicate the Dry Cycle is shifting Westward in its entirety, (or ‘decaying’ from the East,) as the vanguard of the cycle has not yet reached the End Longitude. Thus, the term ‘Dry Cycle Shift’.
    Consequently, this seems to indicate,(for the Regional Cycles,) the X Factor influence ends in the Sun, circa eight Earth months, (120 degrees at 15 degrees/month,) before the end of the operational 24 month Regional Dry Cycle Parameter.
    The Actual Dry Cycle Terrestrial Footprint, (for the Regional Cycles,) thus becomes 16 months.

    For the Regional Cycles;

    The Regional Dry Cycle begins at the Cycle Start/End Longitude, moving Westward at 15 degrees longitude per month.
    16 months into the Cycle’s terrestrial progress, the X factor influence concludes in the Sun. (Cycle Shift Date.) The Regional Cycle Vanguard continues to move Westward through the remainder of its 360 degree track, (120 degrees, or 8 months at 15 d/month,) to finish at the Cycle Start/End Longitude, at the same time as the Cycle Shift.
    Following the Cycle Shift start, the Regional Dry Cycle Vanguard is progressively ‘overtaken’ and replaced by the subsequent Wet/Normal Period status quo, at a rate of 45 degrees/month, as the Cycle Vanguard continues at 15 degrees/month toward the 24 month, 360 degree Start/End Longitude. Thus, the Regional Cycle Vanguard and the Regional Cycle Shift, arrive at the Cycle Start/End Longitude simultaneously. The Regional Cycle Shift start date of 16 months after the Cycle Start date, provides the 16 month Actual Terrestrial Footprint for the Regional Cycles.

    For the Minor Cycles;

    Flooding/Precipitation data indicates that, as with a Regional Dry Cycle, the Minor Dry Cycle begins at the Cycle Start Longitude, moving Westward at 15 degrees Longitude per month.
    Differing from the Regional Cycle; Eight months into the terrestrial progress of the Minor Cycle, the X Factor influence concludes in the Sun. (Cycle Shift Date.) The Minor Cycle Vanguard continues to move Westward at 15 degrees/month, through the remainder of its duration, to finish at the Cycle End Longitude, at the same time as the Cycle Shift.

    If a Minor Cycle Duration of 12 months is maintained – and the Cycle Shift Rate remains at 45 degrees/month, the Cycle Shift will ‘overtake’ the Cycle Vanguard 12 months into the Cycle Duration, (provided the 8 month Cycle Shift Date is retained.)
    There is no reason to believe (at this stage,) that the Shift Rate of 45 degrees/month does not apply for both Regional and Minor Cycles, so the Chronology will reflect this, until further specific revelations find otherwise.
    Thus, (as it stands,) there is a 12 month, difference between the Duration Parameter of a Regional Cycle and that of a Minor Cycle.
    The Regional Cycles have a Duration Length of 24 months, with an Actual Terrestrial Footprint of 16 months – while the Minor Cycles have a Duration Length of 12 months, with an Actual Terrestrial Footprint of 8 months.

    Further research is required, to comprehensively determine the various correlations between the Minor Cycles in relation to the Regional Cycles – and the relationships of both these Cycles, with the X Factor influence and the dynamics of the Sun. (pp 191-92. ‘Tomorrow’s Weather….thirty years on.)

    Note;
    The current 2 Year Solar-induced Orbital Dry Cycle began terrestrially at 50 degrees East Longitude (circa Madagascar,)from August 1, 2024. The ‘vanguard’ of this Dry Cycle has been moving East to West at 15 degrees of Earth Longitude per 30 Day/Night Interval Month, thus reaching Australia’s East Coast in early January, 2026 – before ending at the Start Longitude,(50 degrees East Longitude on August 1, 2026 (see Cycle Shift.)

    With the current Solar Activity in mind, note December 1, 2025 (16 Months after August 1, 2024) is the Start of the Cycle Shift for the 2 Year Regional Dry Cycle, presently progressively (Longitudinally) affecting the Pacific Ocean and associated land masses in both Northern and Southern Hemispheres simultaneously.

    ‘Tomorrow’s Weather thirty Years on…’ (including the 2025 update,) is available as a free PDF from [email protected]

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