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Minister Bowen says costs of inaction absolutely definitely higher even though we don’t know the cost of doing something

Ministry of Climate Panic

By Jo Nova

It’s a Pantomine from beginning to end — the fakery never ends

Australia’s National Climate Risk Assessment has dropped on us yesterday like a mass-produced propaganda-bomb. Life and death depends upon “the science”, but the intense, dire and secret climate modeling was mysteriously delayed last month for no reason (except to get some spooky headlines), whereupon the Greens jumped up and down to get it released, and then patted themselves on the back saying Labor caved in. Yes, indeedy, the Government put out the report with perfect PR timing a few days before they plan to tell us how they are raising our emissions target from impossible to astronomical.  If they released the “science” a month ago, people would have more time to pick apart the 274 pages of propaganda (or even read it).

Science is just a marketing tool for Big Government now, and the document is a fishing mission for catastrophe.

We know it’s not science because everything is 100% bad. It’s the purity that gives it away.  In the real world, there are always trade-offs.

It’s all cost and no benefit

The document is a risk assessment which calculates the cost of inaction, but not the cost of action.  Not surprisingly, the cost of inaction is always going to be “higher”  (higher than nothing). It was apparently, exactly what the Minister wanted:

“One thing that is very clear from this climate assessment is that our whole country has a lot at stake,” Bowen said. “The cost of inaction will always outweigh the cost of action.” — The BBC

Nobody knows what the cost is, not the Minister of the Department of Better Weather and Energy. Though one guesstimate from a group called Net Zero Australia in 2023 tossed out numbers like $1.5 trillion by 2030 and $7-$9 trillion by 2050. That’s a lot of cost savings we need to make to make action make sense. Grown ups would like to discuss this, perhaps?

It’s all deaths and no lives saved

Heat waves will kill more people, but somehow warmer winters won’t reduce any deaths, even though moderate winter cold kills 6 times as many people as summer heat does.

 

https://joannenova.com.au/2018/10/despite-record-heat-six-times-as-many-people-die-of-cold-in-australia-not-heat/

Attributable fraction of deaths: Heat, cold and temperature variability together resulted in 42,414 deaths during the study period, accounting for about 6.0% of all deaths. Most of attributable deaths were due to cold (61.4%), and noticeably, contribution from temperature variability (28.0%) was greater than that from heat (10.6%). (Cheng et al)

Heatwave mortality will increase by 444% in Sydney if the world warms by 3°C the report tells us, with no mention of the word “air-conditioning”.

If reckless spending to stop-storms-in-2100 makes energy unaffordable, heatwave mortality will increase even if the world doesn’t warm at all. No one will be able to afford air-conditioning.

The only mention of “benefits” in the whole document is that  a few areas might benefit from reduced frosts — not that our expert modelers can say which areas, or which seasons that will happen in.

Like advertising, “everyone” will be better off if they just buy this weather controlling widget.

The 72-page report – released days before the government announces its emissions reduction targets for 2035 – found that no Australian community will be immune from climate risks that will be “cascading, compounding and concurrent”. — The BBC

The 274 page blockbuster has a nifty 74 page overview for anyone who only has a day or two to devote to the combinations and variations of modeled imaginary catastrophe. There’s nothing there that we haven’t seen a million times before.

ht Old Ozzie, Neville, another ian.

 

 

10 out of 10 based on 105 ratings

122 comments to Minister Bowen says costs of inaction absolutely definitely higher even though we don’t know the cost of doing something

  • #
    Murray Shaw

    As far as cinema ratings are concerned this report is the R version of their prognostication.

    250

    • #
      William

      R? No, it is aimed at immature minds so G rating!

      201

    • #
      Geoff

      The increase in heat for a heat island source like a city is proportional to the capacity of every electrical generator eg solar panel, not the electrical demand of each city.

      This is mainly caused by the increase in transmission losses.

      As solar panels are included with everything causing upgrades of transmission and storage capability the recorded temperature of any city will rise.

      This in turn leads people to conclude that this is caused by CO2 emissions to the atmosphere and results in even more mandated generation distribution versus consolidation.

      Mandating low energy generation density can actually “cook” our planet.

      210

      • #

        The main cause of the urban heat island effect is the change in evaporation and not albedo. In normal environments vegetation grows by sucking up water and in order to photosynthesize it has to allow the wet permeable membranes to be exposed to air to absorb CO2. That results in evaporation and that creates a MASSIVE cooling effect.

        Build on that environment, and the rate of water evaporation plummets and basically you go from the wet bulb temperature toward the dry bulb temperature.

        The other effect is that water is no longer being evaporated, but instead it has to leave the area of runoff (or subsoil channels). So the lack of evaporation also increases runoff … leading to higher river flows. So flooding is the flip side of urban heating.

        In any sane world, we’d be planting natural vegetation in cities not putting up solar panels.

        90

  • #
    Peter Fitzroy

    A predictable take on what is becoming an existential threat. It does not matter what the cause is, this report details what is possible under various scenarios.

    And callousness of this statement “ Heatwave mortality will increase by 444% in Sydney if the world warms by 3°C the report tells us, with no mention of the word “airconditioning”.” are you suggesting that air conditioning is a universal right and that it will be provided free to the poor, renters, and pensioners.

    Mind you, this is your standard tactic, when discussing science or anything the fossil fuel lobby does not want.

    385

    • #
      James Murphy

      Can you put a name to this seemingly omnipotent “fossil fuel lobby”…? You keep telling us all about it, so you must be quite the expert.
      Who is it? A company? A person…?
      How do the oil companies hide their (presumably planet sized) donations from shareholders, and external auditing teams…?
      How much money are they spending, How are they spending it, and where are they spending it?

      In the interests of education and knowledge sharing, please enlighten us.

      700

      • #
        • #
          Eng_Ian

          So you don’t know either.

          160

          • #

            I don’t think you understand. The lobby to parliament is huge but not fully disclosed or regulated. Pocock is trying to make it so that access to parliamentarians is transparent to the public that voted them in, and is not biased towards the big end of town that can afford to have a multitude people lobbying.

            017

            • #

              Peter, if you read.. golly, the last post here, you’d know that any money the fossil fuel sector sends to skeptics (0.0% to me) is dwarfed by the monster banker funds and power of Big-Gov and Big-Bankers to gift to green activists, cronies, politicians and pals.
              https://joannenova.com.au/2025/09/the-greens-set-up-a-senate-inquiry-to-track-down-the-funds-for-misinformation-in-climate-change/

              PS: Yes, I would prefer a world where electricity was 10c/kWh again and even the poor could afford to run an air-conditioner.

              You just ooze the hate, don’t you? Does that help you sleep at night? You lie to yourself that I’m funded by fossil fuels, and tell yourself I’m evil because you don’t have any good answers?

              Does it even enter your head that I might want to help the poor, I just have a different plan to the Bankers-n-bureaucrats you admire so much?

              310

              • #
                Peter Fitzroy

                You were funded directly by heartland Institute, a fossil fuel lobby group

                06

              • #

                You are pitiful Peter. It doesn’t matter what I say, you depend on your gutter Ad Hominem reasoning, so no matter how many times I answer you, you won’t believe me anyway. It would break your mind.

                They covered the cost of printing Skeptics Handbooks and paid for plane tickets so I could speak at a couple of conferences. When I said 0.0% I’m talking accurately.

                100

            • #
              James Murphy

              Establish a register, make diaries public… should make all their financial records public too. Nothing wrong with this at all. it will, of course, just drive the more unscrupulous people to meet out-of-hours, but that’s no reason not to try.
              Thanks for the non-answer though, you can always be counted on for that.

              20

      • #
        Esra Taf

        As NASA stated, climate models are only good for predicting weather 7 to 10 days out. To predict climate, the models must improve 100 fold. Want to bag NASA? Go for it.

        110

    • #
      KP

      “what is becoming an existential threat. ”

      Oh rubbish! All those models have never been right, so why would we expect them to be this time.

      Sorry PF, Jo’s arguments make much more sense than yours.

      A for this… ” are you suggesting that air conditioning is a universal right and that it will be provided free to the poor, renters, and pensioners.”.. surely ‘something new will be invented in the next thirty years to solve this problem”, like the new batteries to make ruinables viable, just as the alarmists always say.

      550

    • #
      David Maddison

      by 3°C

      Even if that were true, when has a temperature increase of 3C harmed anyone?

      Daily and seasonal temperature changes far exceed that. And humans don’t need air conditioning to survive.

      Humans are highly adaptable and live everywhere from the poles to the equator, and most who are not in Western countries don’t even have heating or cooling.

      550

      • #
        Gary S

        I only have to drive down the hill I live on to see the temperature rise by three degrees and more. But I don’t collapse from heat stroke when I then get out of the car.

        390

        • #
          PeterPetrum

          Garry, we live at the top of the Blue Mountains, about 100km west of Sydney and at 3500ft (1,060m). Motoring down to Penrith at the foot of the Mountains raises the temperature by 6°-9°C, depending on wind direction. It takes 50 minutes but we have no trouble adjusting to that temperature change. 3°C? A dawdle!

          20

      • #
        Dennis

        The Mediterranean Sea was 3.6°F (2°C) hotter during the Roman Empire than other average temperatures at the time, a new study claims.

        The Empire coincided with a 500-year period, from AD 1 to AD 500, which was the warmest period of the last 2,000 years in the almost completely land-locked sea.

        The climate later progressed towards colder and arid conditions that coincided with the historical fall of the Empire, scientists claim.

        Spanish and Italian researchers recorded ratios of magnesium to calcite taken from skeletonized amoebas in marine sediments, an indicator of seawater temperatures, in the Sicily Channel.

        They say the warmer period may have also coincided with the shift from the Roman Republic to the great Empire founded by Octavius Augustus in 27 BC.

        100

    • #
      OldOzzie

      Labor Blackout Bowen’s National Climate Risk Assessment Report has been superseded by the Following Report

      Henny Penny Sky Falling

      The story of Henny Penny, also known as Chicken Little or Chicken Licken in the United States, is a European folk tale that recounts the tale of a chicken who believes the sky is falling after being hit on the head by an acorn while picking corn in the farmyard.

      The phrase “The sky is falling!” has become a common idiom in the English language, signifying a hysterical or mistaken belief that disaster is imminent.

      The story is structured as a cumulative tale, where Henny Penny, upon having the acorn fall on her head, runs to warn the king, gathering companions along the way, including Cocky-locky, Ducky-daddles, Goosey-poosey, and Turkey-lurkey.

      The group is eventually tricked by Foxy-woxy (or Foxy Loxy), who claims to know a shortcut to the king’s palace and leads them into his cave, which is his den.

      The fox then eats the animals one by one, with Henny Penny escaping upon hearing the rooster’s final crow, which she interprets as a sign of morning.

      The story serves as a cautionary tale about mass hysteria and the dangers of not thinking critically before acting on fear.

      470

    • #
      Ronin

      I’m wondering how they put a figure of 444% on it, not 445 or 443%.

      420

    • #
      Ronin

      You just know when Chris Bowen and the BOM are involved, it has to be a crock.

      380

    • #
      Ronin

      So Peter, now we all know the reason for all those China visits, it was to scare the plebs and get the pipeline of Chinese windmills, solar panels and transmission towers and cables flowing at double the previous rate by doubling down on the great climate scare.

      270

      • #
        ozfred

        Well the trips might have been considered a success if the prices of those items were cut by 50%.
        Double the physical value at the same price !!
        Doubling the paper work value has no benefit.

        50

    • #
      Ross

      PF, you’re right about one thing, the poor old pensioners won’t be able to use their aircons because the electricity will be too expensive, or there’s a managed outage (blackout).

      310

    • #
      Stephen

      Mind you, this is your standard tactic, when discussing science

      Science, what science? This report is the same as every other climate fiction. The numbers are not real, do not exist in reality in the real physical world. The outputs are mere computer fabrications derived from simulated earth worlds.

      In these computer scenarios risk is no longer a concept that pertains to the real world – a measure of frequency of a thing’s incidence. Instead, risk has become a measure of the real world’s distance from an imagined and idealized world – an ideological fantasy.

      This is not science. It produces no knowledge about the material world – none. But of course, politicians such as Bowen that are intellectually primitive create entire energy policies based on fictional worlds.

      270

    • #
      Jon Rattin

      A predictable comment on what is not becoming an existential threat…

      The Victorian Premier is currently a couple of days into her junket in China- the epicentre of the so-called existential threat if you will. She isn’t going to rebuke them for their massive CO2 emissions. Rather, she is encouraging them to send more students down under, given our weather is so agreeable.

      180

    • #
      el+gordo

      ‘ … existential threat. It does not matter what the cause is …’

      We are only returning to the Medieval Warm Period, good reason to rejoice as the Holocene draws to a close.

      The cause is important, moderately rising temperature is a key component in how the system works. Copious amounts of water vapour in the stratosphere definitely turned up the heat.

      101

    • #
      Graeme4

      The “industry shill” approach to any debate is a classic example of poor debating technique.

      160

    • #
      LocalExistence

      PF comments on “what is becoming an existential threat” [my emphasis]. That’s a relief! According to Bowen, “the impacts of climate change are existential” [my emphasis]. So does Peter disagree with Bowen?

      140

    • #
      Strop

      It does not matter what the cause is, this report details what is possible under various scenarios.

      The cause does matter because the action needed, if any, is dependent on the cause.
      If it’s not CO2 then all the CO2 reduction targets are not going to make a difference.

      The cause does matter because the likelihood of what is possible is dependent upon it.

      are you suggesting that air conditioning is a universal right

      No. Jo is suggesting the 444% is a made up number without any basis.

      be provided free to the poor, renters, and pensioners.

      Speaking of “callousness”. The push to drive up electricity costs by this government and those advocating for net zero.
      Also this government’s callous promise to lower annual electricity costs by an average $275 per household, but have them increase by 470% of that.
      What is callous is the foolish action by this government to push ahead with this path when, even if CO2 is the cause, it won’t make any difference.

      170

    • #
      el+gordo

      ‘ … the world warms by 3°C …’

      I don’t think that is possible, it would be warmer than the Holocene Climate Max.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Holocene_climatic_optimum#/media/File:Holocene_Temperature_Variations.png

      41

  • #
    Zigmaster

    If we had a real opposition the data and conclusions of the report wouldve been destroyed by ridicule already. We know that the expected temperature rise has underperformed expectation for 2-3 decades . We know deaths from climate events have fallen by 97% in 100 years, we know that the costs of transitioning in every case has been way more than predicted to such an extent that they dont even bother predicting anymore but can go to the election with certainty of how much a nuclear solution will cost.
    The problem with the opposition and even some conservative commentators is that they dont argue about whether they should do anything at all. When someone couches their comments with “ We have to do something” I ask why?. The arguement should be not about renewables or nuclear but about action or inaction, and the uncontested data that shows deaths have fallen by so much in the last 100 years is proof that other than adapt to climactic variations we need to do absolutely nothing. And the beauty of most of the major innovations and developments, such as air conditioning, better building practices, better warning systems , mobile phones, motor vehicles, planes that have all been used to fight climate events have almost all evolved with the free market mechanisms responding to a need that consumers are prepared to pay for than being forced on to us with edict and subsidised and rigged markets. This document shouldve been treated as a document so cliched as a fictional fantasy than anything approaching a scientific and economic document. While we have such deceit in power and incompetence in opposition I fear for this country.

    410

    • #
      Another Delcon

      Mat Cannavan did a good job of making them look pretty stupid in Senate Estimates.
      Sussssan Lee : missing in action !

      10

  • #
    Honk R Smith

    The biggest threat is Climawhisupremamysagonationafasciraciztrump.
    It’s faster if we just use one word.
    It’s worse if we don’t do anything.

    160

  • #
    TdeF

    It’s so completely crazy, logic totally missing, actions completely reprehensible, I can only conclude that his bosses in China have demanded Australia double their purchases of windmills, transmission towers, massive cables, transformers.

    Even Andrew Forrest has been buying massive and useless electric trucks and trains no one needs or can justify. As the Chinese economy bottoms out through mounting debt and lack of demand and the huge mistake of putting all their eggs in the Tesla basket, we have to supply the cash. Or they will stop buying our iron ore, coal and of course our precious lobsters and wine.

    Otherwise anyone would have to conclude that Chris Bowen has gone completely mad. Which is actually not a big change from just mad. So there is no reputational loss there.

    We have become the slave state China wanted with the Wuhan Flu exercise, the gun boats, the Pacific island invasion. Now if everyone is allied with Australia, they are allied with China too. And the Victorian Premier is currently there to kowtow. No Australian politician has any intention of going to America. All the way with China, eh?

    440

    • #
      TdeF

      And the recent mega WWII party in China to celebrate the power of President Xi was significant not only because of who was there, but who was not. China did not win WWII. Either party. (In fact when America was critically short of Tungsten in WWII, the Chinese sold their precious tungsten to Japan simply because the price was higher. So much for the rape of Nanjing.)

      So the recent massive party was a Communists of the world party unite under Xi party with not a single democratic country except Australia. And given our leaders were busy and had just been for their sixth trip, one loyal Victorian Premier and and another Premier and former Foreign Minister attended to represent the Australian Labor party. Even Carr saw the real political danger and ducked the photoshoot. Not Andrews who is out and proud.

      There we have it, Australia’s Labor leaders openly kowtowing to China along with all the other communist dictators.

      There is no need to wonder why Chris Bowen is doubling down on Chinese windmills. And our while our PM and Foreign Minster Wong have avoided even a single meeting with Trump, ex PM Kevin Rudd is more than capable of insulting Donald Trump on his own turf. But Rudd will be missing the company of socialist Starmer’s Ambassador to Washington and Trump hater, Lord Mandelson, who has been caught with his trousers down in the world wide attempt to connect Trump to Jeffrey Epstein. And everyone is shielding both the Clintons.

      Communists of the world unite. Driven by the UN and their outspoken hatred of capitalist democracies. Especially Israel. And Chinese windmills and solar panels and electric cars for everyone! At least that’s the message. And they have the glossy Climate Science reports to prove it makes sense, or the oceans will boil. Again.

      380

      • #
        TdeF

        And the Australian Labor party is busy firing their best and brightest women, Jacinta Price and Moira Deeming, in case people get the idea that Sussan Lay is further left than Anthony Albanese. She is in fact Labor’s backup plan. The Liberals would storm home under Jacinta Price and they know it.

        Climate Change has nothing to do with the Climate.

        340

    • #
      Dave of Gold Coast

      Love your phrase about concluding Bowen is mad says what many of us think. I cannot believe any thinking person would give any credibility to yet another unproven, stab in the dark report. We have been bombarded with unproven junk for years like Flannery’s dire message about no more dams filling and Perth becoming a ghost town. Where do we find such puppets? Are they just making it up or are they just mouth pieces for the corrupt UN or worse, the WEF?

      350

    • #
      Ross

      I saw a small snippet of Bowen’s presser yesterday on social media. I noticed that he wore glasses. One of his advisors probably recommended it, to make him look smarter.

      230

      • #
        yarpos

        It will take a lot more than glasses

        170

        • #
          Dennis

          Looks like it’s making a spectacle of himself

          100

          • #
            TdeF

            And a spectacular failure. Glassy eyed and ridiculous. I cannot believe he has a degree in economics. What are they teaching?

            “University of Sydney Bachelor of Economics. Master’s Degree in International Relations and a Diploma in Modern Languages (Bahasa Indonesia).”

            Do they teach kowtowing? Or is that acquired only with practice?

            40

            • #
              Ronin

              “Do they teach kowtowing? Or is that acquired only with practice?”

              Fancy name for brown nosing.

              40

              • #
                Jon Rattin

                If a Labor politician sees the backside of a Chinese official, their next action will be reminiscent of a woodpecker on the side of a tree…

                30

  • #
    Neville

    More crazy nonsense from the clueless Labor govt and it will cost 7 to 9 TRILLION $ by 2050 and the weather and climate will not change at all.
    Here’s the honest factual data from the genuine Co2 Coalition Scientists and you can look at 32 FACTS and then understand we should only build BASELOAD energy for our future.
    IOW BASELOAD energy is safe and reliable and preserves our country’s national security and we don’t destroy our environments for a zero return.
    Toxic, unreliable W & S will have to be replaced every 15 to 20 years at an horrendous cost and will definitely destroy thousands of Klms of our environments forever.

    https://co2coalition.org/facts/co2-is-plant-food/

    200

  • #
    KP

    The propaganda is predictably thick in the mainstream. SMH has a few headlines-

    “Climate crisis ‘Like Mad Max’: How hot it will really get in ‘unliveable Australia’”

    “Horrifying climate report paints grim picture of Australia’s future”

    “Cost of years of inaction on climate change is now revealed- The Herald’s View”

    …but I can’t be bothered reading the articles, I have a life to enjoy.

    310

    • #
      yarpos

      I wonder if they will take accountability for the mentally fragile people and young minds damaged by their doomsterism? Sadly there are people who will take their nonsense seriously.

      I wonder if we will see annual “closing the gap” type reports detailing how things are going and how we are driving the climate?

      90

  • #
    Kalm Keith

    It’s sad that this great, comprehensive post is needed, but this is where we are.

    While driving I always listen to their ABCCC so that I’m aware of the rubbish that the ever-trusting general public is being bombed with.

    In recent days there has been a constant rain of pro warming blather and how “we” need to do more to avoid being drowned by 2050: you must be fearful to the point that you don’t notice the horrendous tax increases and total absence of Science.

    This scenario is Not Democracy, it’s evul beyond all reason.

    Defund the Proper Gander: Now!

    240

  • #
    Peter Thompson

    The bottom of page four of the report says all we need to know about how self serving this exercise is : “The National Assessment includes risks that could result in high impacts, regardless of whether they have a high or low probability of occurrence.”

    230

    • #
      Ross

      So, giving it a sporting equivalent (AFL finals) and you’re the coaching staff at Hawthorn – Geelong could kick 30 goals in Friday night’s game and we kick none. Chances of that happening is zero, but it could theoretically happen.

      50

  • #
    OldOzzie

    Ambitious emissions target ‘will make Australians proud’, Labor Blackout Bowen declares

    Ozymandias – By Percy Bysshe Shelley (With Apologies)

    I met a traveller from an antique land,
    Who said—“Two vast and trunkless legs of stone
    Stand in the desert. . . . Near them, on the sand,
    Half sunk a shattered visage lies, whose frown,
    And wrinkled lip, and sneer of cold command,
    Tell that its sculptor well those passions read
    Which yet survive, stamped on these lifeless things,
    The hand that mocked them, and the heart that fed;

    And on the pedestal, these words appear:

    My name is Blackout Bowen, King of Kings;

    Look on my Works, ye Mighty, and despair!”
    Nothing beside remains. Round the decay
    Of that colossal Wreck, boundless and bare
    The lone and level sands stretch far away.

    190

  • #

    What Climate Alarmist Claptrap.

    Just do what Mother Nature does and adapt. It’s way, way, way much cheaper and then we can go back to a more cheaper, reliable and secure electricity system.

    200

  • #
    Ross

    Pantomime for sure. The NCRA, soon to be shortened and pronounced as “nacra” for all the kiddies, is just a document produced by the Labor Party for the Labor Party. It’s just a political stunt. Bit like running a Royal Commission or senate enquiry, but you already know the findings prior to announcing. Or, the public service giving the government 2 options for some legislation and they have to select the PS’s preferred option because the other option has been constructed to be terrible. I learned all that from watching Yes Minister / Yes Prime minister years ago. You know it’s garbage because it’s the first “ever” nacra, even though we’ve had climate alarmism for at least 30 years.

    150

  • #

    The USA DOE says otherwise – For example –

    “This report reviews scientific certainties and uncertainties in how anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2)and other greenhouse gas emissions have affected, or will affect, the Nation’s climate, extreme weather events, and selected metrics of societal well-being. Those emissions are increasing the concentration ofCO2 in the atmosphere through a complex and variable carbon cycle, where some portion of the additional
    CO2 persists in the atmosphere for centuries.

    Elevated concentrations of CO2 directly enhance plant growth, globally contributing to “greening” the planet and increasing agricultural productivity [Section 2.1, Chapter 9]. They also make the oceans less alkaline (lower the pH). That is possibly detrimental to coral reefs, although the recent rebound of the Great Barrier Reef suggests otherwise [Section 2.2].

    Carbon dioxide also acts as a greenhouse gas, exerting a warming influence on climate and weather [Section 3.1]. Climate change projections require scenarios of future emissions. There is evidence that scenarios widely-used in the impacts literature have overstated observed and likely future emission trends
    [Section 3.1].”

    https://www.energy.gov/sites/default/files/2025-07/DOE_Critical_Review_of_Impacts_of_GHG_Emissions_on_the_US_Climate_July_2025.pdf

    130

    • #

      And more –

      “Since 1900, global average sea level has risen by about 8 inches. Sea level change along U.S. coasts is highly variable, associated with local variations in processes that contribute to sinking and also with ocean circulation patterns. The largest sea level increases along U.S. coasts are Galveston, New Orleans, and the Chesapeake Bay regions – each of these locations is associated with substantial local land sinking (subsidence) unrelated to climate change.

      Extreme projections of global sea level rise are associated with an implausible extreme emissions scenario and inclusion of poorly understood processes associated with hypothetical ice sheet instabilities. In evaluating AR6 projections to 2050 (with reference to the baseline period 1995-2014), almost half of the interval has elapsed by 2025, with sea level rising at a lower rate than predicted. U.S. tide gauge measurements reveal no obvious acceleration beyond the historical average rate of sea level rise.”

      100

      • #

        Don’t bother me with facts … I have a civilisation to utterly destroy.

        Could be UK’s own Mendacious Mr. Miliband, or Australia’s Mr. Bowen.

        Auto.

        20

  • #
    yarpos

    Well at least its good to see an example of government competence and timely service delivery.

    The agencies tasked with catastrophizing and spreading doom have produced a timely glossy report to support the governments inane policies that are based on nothing but catastrophizing and spreading doom.

    If only they were doing something useful.

    160

  • #
    Strop

    Heatwave mortality will increase by 444% in Sydney if the world warms by 3°C the report tells us, with no mention of the word “airconditioning”.

    Maybe air-conditioning won’t be an option for many older and more susceptible people because this push for renewables will make electricity too expensive.

    130

  • #
    Neville

    We now live in the safest period in Human history and Humans today have—
    Record Life expectancy and population.
    Record food and calories to sustain our population of 8.2 billion.
    The safest period in our history with a 98% drop in extreme weather deaths since the 1920s.
    Polar bears have increased by at least 500% since the 1950s.
    Poor Africa’s population has increased by 1.3 billion since 1950 and their life expectancy in 1950 was just 36 years and 64 years today.
    So why would we throw this much safer climate and much higher life expectancy away and choose idiotic, toxic and unreliable W & S + batteries?

    180

  • #
    Geoffrey Williams

    ‘Absolutely definitely higher’ talk about authoritarianism !!
    Bet they don’t get this rubbish in China . .

    100

  • #
    Stephen

    Isn’t it a coincidence that this fake report on Australia boiling to death, is released, as historically one of the hottest and driest places on earth enters its spring then summer seasons.

    Perfect climate blob timing…

    I guess Australia was overdue to receive another ‘credible report’, that has been ‘comprehensively researched’ and ‘peer reviewed’ by an ‘expert panel’ with ‘decades of experience’ in ‘climate science’….

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    Ronin

    Bowens bucket load of BS.

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    Ruairi

    The climate emperor is again back in town,
    Still pretending to wear a fine gown,
    Which to skeptics is fake,
    But to warmists opaque,
    Wasting trillions to ‘outfit’ this clown.

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    Neville

    Here’s the accurate answer to our liars and con merchants and note the World’s co2 emissions trajectory has shown no change since 1945.
    And China, India and the non OECD countries have increased co2 emissions by 15.4 billion tons per year today.
    The wealthy OECD countries annual co2 emissions are lower today than in 1990.
    Aussies 1% of emissions is the near horizontal line at the bottom of the graph.
    Again, the data proves we are wasting trillions of $ for nothing and risking not only our energy security but also our national security.
    But will the voters wake up to the liars and con merchants by 2028?

    https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/annual-co2-emissions-per-country?country=OWID_WRL~AUS~Non-OECD+%28GCP%29~OECD+%28GCP%29

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    OldOzzie

    National Climate Risk Assessment by Hanrahan

    “We’ll all be rooned,” said Hanrahan, In accents most forlorn

    “It’s keepin’ dry, no doubt.”
    “We’ll all be rooned,” said Hanrahan,
    “Before the year is out.”

    “The crops are done;
    ye’ll have your work To save one bag of grain;
    From here way out to Back-o’-Bourke
    They’re singin’ out for rain.

    In God’s good time down came the rain;
    And all the afternoon
    On iron roof and window-pane
    It drummed a homely tune.

    It pelted, pelted all day long,
    A-singing at its work,
    Till every heart took up the song Way out to Back-o’-Bourke.
    And every creek a banker ran,
    And dams filled overtop; ”

    We’ll all be rooned,” said Hanrahan, “If this rain doesn’t stop.”

    “There’ll be bush-fires for sure, me man,
    There will, without a doubt;

    We’ll all be rooned,” said Hanrahan, “Before the year is out.”

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    OldOzzie

    ‘Putting us on a pathway to poverty’: Chris Ulhmann delivers grim warning over Labor climate change target in wake of report

    Sky News political contributor Chris Uhlmann has delivered a damming assessment of Labor’s ambitious renewables agenda in the wake of the Albanese government’s latest climate change report.

    Examining the findings of the report ahead of Labor’s 2035 target call, Mr Ulhmann has provided a damning assessment of where he said the policy direction could lead the country.

    Labor has so far been pursuing a target of 43 per cent emissions reduction on 2005 levels by 2030, but Mr Uhlmann warned the government is “not going to hit their 2030 numbers”.

    “So we’re now going to have even more preposterous numbers,” he said.

    Mr Ulhmann described the new report as “essentially trying to model the future”, something he argued “no one” could do accurately.

    He also took issue with the impacts the report claimed Australia’s net zero push would have on worldwide emissions, noting the Climate Change Authority’s own website notes the country produces just one per cent of global emissions as the world’s 14th largest emitter.

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  • #

    I like that Graph in the Article that shows – Attributable fraction (%) for deaths.

    I knew that Heat and Cold were killers but I never knew that TV was a killer or that Australian TV was that bad………………………….

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  • #
    Robert Swan

    Jo,

    Minister Bowen says costs of inaction …

    Not sure why I get cross about people using “Minister” as a title (like “Judge” or “Lord”), but it’s not correct usage. The guidelines suggest you could have used “Mr Bowen”, or “The Minister”.

    Journalists misuse “Minister” this way all the time. I think it came in during the ’90s, when larger numbers of female ministers brought on the vagaries of Do I call her Ms, Mrs or Miss? and the minsters didn’t complain about this pedestal the journos had invented for them.

    On the plus side, if you replace the “Minister” with “Mr” it makes room for other words that might be applied to him.

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    Stanley

    Bowen’s three word summary has subtle undertones, which clearly someone else wrote for him: “cascading, compounding, concurrent”; surely concussed, dazed and confused are to follow (apologies to Yardbirds and Led Zeppelin fans).
    Concurrent: yep, it’s a current con job;
    Compounding: yep, we’ll pound you into submission with communist tactics;
    Cascading: yep, you’ll have nothing but Cascade beer to cool you when it gets unbelievably hot.

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    • #
      another ian

      You are forgetting that, back in days when refrigeration was a rarity in inland Oz, Southwark beer had the reputation of best beer when hot.

      I guess that was adaptation?

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  • #
    TdeF

    What is missing from Bowen’s statement is not how much this will cost, or how much devastation this will cause, but what difference it will make to Global Warming? Zero?

    Is this a moral objective or a practical one with real benefits to Australians? Especially since 95% of the world’s population is not doing a thing and China has tripled CO2 output in the last 20 years and shows no sign of stopping, adding more CO2 in one year than all of Australia.

    He says that we must act now before its too late to save Australia from Global Warming.
    Is he suggesting that it is not GLOBAL warming, that each country has control over its own temperatures based on declared borders?

    Even Australia’s fossil fuel emissions dropped from 2% to 0%, how big a difference will that make for Australia?

    Every cent we spend today and have already spent on windmills and solar panels and their transmission lines will be rubbish by 2050 anyway. Nett zero is a pointless goal which takes very high and unending spending, a solitary war on CO2. And of huge damage and zero definable benefit to Australians.

    Still the reporting is breathless, supported by the Unions of course and all the usual Climatebaggers who get the cash. What do we Australians get except total destruction, even of our environment?

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    • #
      another ian

      TdeF

      You’re missing an important point here –

      You know all the special positive feedback conditions with H20 etc that amplify CO2 to the threat it is supposed to be?

      Well there is a “Super Gasp magnifying set” that elevate the miniscule contribution of Oz to an agent of major catastrophe

      (To quote Ted Egan – would I lie to you”?)

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  • #
    OldOzzie

    A Comment from The Australian Article – EDITORIAL – Climate reports show need for rational, effective action

    Quandong
    24 minutes ago

    You can download the full set of Historical Normalised Data on all “Catastrophic Events” from the Insurance Council of Australia here:



    https://insurancecouncil.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/ICA-Historical-Normalised-Catastrophe-Master-Updated-July-2025-1.xlsx



    A critical observation is that the cost data is “normalised” to 2022 construction costs.

    This may sound innocuous, but it has a huge impact on how the last five years are perceived and provide raw actual data dispels the narrative that the incidence of catastrophic events is increasing

Since 2022, building costs in much of Australia, especially northern NSW and Queensland where most events occur have risen close to 100%, with insurance-related rebuilds hit hardest.



    Freezing losses in 2022 dollars conveniently deflates 2023–2025 losses back to a pre-inflation baseline, making the cost curve look artificially flat while households are paying nearly double for repairs. 



    It is hard not to see this as convenient accounting that supports steep premium hikes while masking the real surge in rebuild costs actually faced by claimants.

    

When you re-express the same dataset in 2025 construction dollars, the picture changes completely.

    The five-year annual average becomes about $2.69 billion, virtually identical to the long-term average of $2.70 billion since 1990.

    In other words, catastrophe costs on a like-for-like basis are not spiralling out of control—they are simply reflecting higher prices per repair.



    Statistical analysis of the ICA’s own data shows that the frequency trend line for declared catastrophes has been declining since 1990, undermining the claim that we are seeing an explosion in extreme events.

    

In short, this is yet another example of selective framing—just like we’ve seen from CSIRO, AEMO, and now our insurance duopoly.

    They are all using manipulated data presentation to feed a convenient climate crisis narrative and justify extraordinary premium inflation that punishes ordinary Australians.

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  • #
    TdeF

    Why is nothing ever cost justified? Cost vs benefit. Why is it always a moral obligation or an End of Days crisis like WWIII?
    Would it really hurt the government to explain what we get for our money?

    Like the

    $444Million to Malcolm and Lucy Turnbull?
    Or the $20Bn+ for Snowy II
    Or the $1Billion for a share in Quantum computing?
    Or the $1Billion for a water pipeline to Gladstone for no immediate need.
    Or the $1Billion to build solar panels in the Hunter Valley (What’s become of that?)

    And why is all this off balance sheet, not approved by parliament except in hindsight? Or in the budget?

    Where is the actual crisis and where is our return for on investment of our money, not the Government’s money?

    What happened to accountability? It seems to be zero.

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    • #
      TdeF

      And it seems that Leader of the Liberals, Sussan Ley, agrees with it all. Especially the net zero. And zero accountability. We appear to be electing Emperors, not Prime Ministers.

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  • #
    David Maddison

    All of Australia’s senior politicians, up to and including the PM himself, seem to be what would have been class dunces when they
    were at school.

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    • #
      TdeF

      Like Australia’s infamous Chief Climate Scientist, Professor Tim Flannery whose degree was in English at Latrobe in the early 1970s when it was cow pastures. Climate Science is Science for Dummies.

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    • #
      Graeme No.3

      When I was at school the saying was “Do people think you might be a fool, speak out and remove all doubt”.

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  • #
    Keith Bates

    When I was a child growing up in the 1960’s, there was no air conditioning in homes. Since then, we have had a revolution to the point where ducted AC is not uncommon. That trend will continue, with AC units becoming cheaper and more efficient. How will we all die from excess temperature?

    Conveniently the predictions are for 2090, long after most of us have passed on, including the bureaucrats and politicians peddling these lies.

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  • #
    Neville

    I just listened to their ABC yappers telling us that we face a disaster unless we “do something about our climate crisis”.
    Thay yapped to one of the report’s experts who is a retired Brig General and he called us the “flat Earthers” and told us to “get out from under our doonas and look outside”.
    Everything was terrible today and we must try to “set an example to the rest of the world”. What a clueless donkey and the ABC yapper BELIEVED it all and urged him on.
    But I’m sure they’re worried that their BS and nonsense is not selling as well today and the silly donkey even admitted that their net zero lunacy wasn’t as popular today in some overseas countries.
    When they find out the WASTED TRILLIONs of $ involved I’m sure many more voters will dump these loonies ASAP. Lets hope it happens soon.

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  • #
    Geoff Sherrington

    Refer to the report “THE RISKS TO AUSTRALIA OF A 3°C WARMER WORLD”. Australian Academy of Science, March 2021.
    https://www.science.org.au/supporting-science/science-policy-and-analysis/reports-and-publications/risks-australia-three-degrees-c-warmer-world
    Here is my critique of this 2021 report, which seems to be a basis for the present government catastrophe report.
    https://www.geoffstuff.com/threedeg.docx

    I hope that readers can gain extra insight into just how fanciful and unscientific the government’s doom mongering is.

    Geoff S

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    • #
      Bob Close

      Thanks Geoff, I enjoyed your timely critique of the AAS climate guff.
      They obviously have nothing new to say on this subject, they refuse to apply
      proper scientific methodology and remain ignorant of recent progress in
      atmospheric physics that repudiates the AGW hypothesis.
      We now know the dominant role the sun and clouds play in modulating modern warming
      as previously suspected by meteorologists prior to the 40 years of deviant IPCC research.
      Clearly, we are entering the end phase- about time too- for this form of
      environmentally driven climate crisis hysteria.
      Let’s hope all the ridiculous climate/energy policies we are currently saddled with are
      dumped ASAP.

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  • #
    liberator

    Does “Bowen in the wind” think that Australia is under an impenetrable dome and that we can control the weather just for us? We can sacrifice our industry on the altar to the gods of climate change all for nothing. Energy costs will continue to rise, and more industry will continue to shut their doors and leave Australia because they will not be able to remain competitive with the rest of the world the lives outside the dome of Australia.

    We’ll spend trillions to reach net zero for what outcome? Do they really think if we do make these sacrifices that Australia will have perfect weather for ever, while the rest of the world continues to grow, consume and burn fossil fuels and their standard of living increases while we just become sub-servant to the rest of the world and become nothing but a country of service providers with no industry. Australia is broke now, how much worse will it get before we’re truly bankrupt?

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    OldOzzie

    Richard Lindzen Professor of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, Emeritus Massachusetts Institute of Technology

    William Happer Professor of Physics, Emeritus, Princeton University

    PHYSICS DEMONSTRATES THAT INCREASING GREENHOUSEGASES CANNOT CAUSE DANGEROUS WARMING, EXTREME WEATHER OR ANY HARM

    – More Carbon Dioxide Will Create More Food.

    – Driving Greenhouse Gas Emissions to Net Zero and Eliminating Fossil Fuels Will Be Disastrous for People Worldwide.

    – Eliminating Fossil Fuels Will Be Disastrous for People Worldwide.

    June 7, 2025

    3 I. SUMMARY At the outset it is important to understand that carbon dioxide has two relevant properties, as a creator of food and oxygen, and as a greenhouse gas (GHG). As to food and oxygen, carbon dioxide is essential to nearly all life on earth by creating food and oxygen by photosynthesis. Further, it creates more food as its level in the atmosphere increases. For example, doubling carbon dioxide from today’s approximately 420 ppm to 840 ppm would increase the amount of food available to people worldwide by roughly 40%, and doing so would have a negligible effect on temperature.

    As to carbon dioxide as a GHG, countries worldwide are vigorously pursuing rules and subsidies under the Net Zero Theory that carbon dioxide and other GHG emissions must be reduced to Net Zero and the use of fossil fuels must be eliminated by 2050 to avoid catastrophic global warming and more extreme weather.

    We are career physicists with a special expertise in radiation physics, which describes how CO2 and GHGs affect heat flow in Earth’s atmosphere.

    In our scientific opinion, contrary to most media reporting and many people’s understanding, the “scientific premises undergirding” the Net Zero Theory, all the Biden Net Zero Theory rules and congressional subsidies are scientifically false and “wrong,” and violate these two State Farm mandates.

    First, Scientific Evidence Ignored.
    Second, Unscientific Evidence at the Foundation.

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    • #
      TdeF

      Yes, but Prof Happer said he believed that fossil fuel CO2 caused the increase in total CO2. I disagreed and he then said it was his ‘private opinion’. Because I could prove it was not true. Since his return to the US, his CO2 Coalition has cited some quite ridiculous proofs, but I think I understand what he is doing. He is pushing the barrow of it’s all quite innocuous and beneficial rather than direct confrontation with the lie of man made CO2.

      However I totally disagree with this approach even if that approach is more political.

      The lack of man made CO2 in the air is directly provable by measurement. This is absolute measurement, unequivocal, final. And easy. Because CO2 in the biosphere is radioactive, a real oddity but the basis of the proven Radio(active) Carbon Dating technology which is well proven and won the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 1961. So fossil fuel CO2 is not radioactive and if the 50% increase was from fossil fuel, average radioactivity should have dropped 33%. In 1958 it was 2.03%. Today it is 0.0%. There is zero proof of man made CO2 in the air. Only an argument from coincidence that we have no record of higher CO2 levels in the metamorphic ice cores. Which is simply a problem with the time resolution of ice cores, not proof at all.

      The reason I disagree is that he has effectively admitted to ‘pollution’ when it is not true, just so he can demolish the next link in the chain, his specific area of expertise. But half the audience is already lost and the other half don’t understand the Stefan Boltzmann story or the results of quantum mechanics. So the acceptance of pollution makes CO2 subject the Clean Air Act, which is the serious legal problem.

      But I have to admit that people like the Australian’s Graeme Lloyd are today quoting Happer’s CO2 Coalition, so he is doing a lot of good. And you don’t want a public argument. We will see if he can win just on the basis that the alleged rapid additional warming is fake science, which it is. And Bowen’s allegation.

      After all, if electricity is cheap and available, the world has moved to cheap airconditioning. And Bowen’s massively increased electricity prices are the real problem from Carnavaron to Cairns. Especially as the alleged future victims, vulnerable older Australians, move to warmer climes for their enjoyment of life. And then cannot afford to stay cool when needed. Bowen even by his reasoning is exacerbating the problem, not solving it.

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    John F. Hultquist

    It’s taken Mother Gaia a few billion years to make up so much schist.

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    Dennis

    The total cost of the transition to renewables is unknown, but Minister Bowen keeps saying renewable energy is cheaper and electricity prices will go down, but they keep rising.

    And the silliest part of all is that renewables must have controllable generator back up (power stations) but power stations do not require renewables back up.

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    Dennis

    Do take note of the Bowen appointee Kean, from the LINO left and that the founder of the LINO left is a former PM and invested in renewables

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    Ronin

    It seems the only decent thing for Australia to lower CO2 emissions is to stop exporting coal, let’s see the govt’s take on that, I’m not advocating it though, just want to hear the govts reply as to its feasibility.

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    • #
      TdeF

      And iron ore. Fe2O3-> Fe + CO2. And wheat and wine and lobsters -> CO2 in China.

      In fact the population of China, 1.4Billion people just breathing out at 3 tonnes per person per year produce more CO2 than all of Australia. And 1 billion of those people by head count were not there in 1900. Why aren’t the Chinese being blamed for CO2 excesses. Between China and the US, half of all CO2 from fossil fuels. And China has another 500 coal power stations underway.

      And Bowen says, don’t worry, we’ll save you. Even if we have to wreck Australia.

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    Boambee John

    There’s no need to mention air conditioning, because there will not be adequate power to operate it.

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    another ian

    Looks like a rerun of “The Voice” –

    Just because “ElBowen” are fans of dire straits doesn’t mean the rest of Oz are

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    MichaelinBrisbane

    If there’s gunna be a 444% increase in heat related deaths with this global warming, then there’s gunna be a simultaneous 4444% DECREASE in cold related deaths. But that Bowen chap won’t explain that.

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    neil

    The reaction to Bowens’ propaganda pamphlet by different media outlets was quite telling. Commercial TV casually mentioned it in news bulletins and moved on, the ABC made it their lead story and ranted about 100’s of heat wave deaths and the collapse of agriculture. The Melbourne Age plastered it across the front page and a double page spread complete with doomsday opinion pieces. The Melbourne Herald Sun didn’t bother running it at all. Not a single millilitre of ink wasted.

    20