JoNova
A science presenter, writer, speaker & former TV host; author of The Skeptic's Handbook (over 200,000 copies distributed & available in 15 languages).
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Statistics
The following edited extract comes from this link
https://www.conservativewoman.co.uk/why-the-man-made-climate-change-scam-will-never-end/
It is a 2 year old judgement favouring climate sceptics Lindzen and Happer, made at the Court Of appeal at the Hague. The 27 page submission referenced is highlighted in the text below as is reference to “scientifically valid experiments “ proving CO2 is no threat. I had forgotten about this article, which is well worth the 20 minutes needed to read it and the experiments. I wondered if anyone had seen a valid refutation of the judgement or the experiments, or whether this article remains valid and worth quoting, as it packages the arguments together neatly
“ON NOVEMBER 30, 2023, three eminent American climate scientists – Richard Lindzen Professor of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, Emeritus Professor, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, William Happer, Professor of Physics, Emeritus Princeton University and Steven Koonin, University Professor, New York University – made a submission to the Court of Appeals in The Hague, the Netherlands, to support Shell against an organisation called Milieudefensie which claimed that the oil giant would be breaking the law if it failed to reduce its CO2 emissions by 45 per cent by 2030. Mileudefensie lost the case, appealed and lost again. The scientists’ 27-page submission can be read here. It is cogently and lucidly written and not loaded with jargon, charts and graphs.
https://friendsofscience.org/index.php?id=2954
The amazing feature of this judgement is that it was made at all. That this has happened is because the judges in The Hague had no choice but to do their job properly and pay attention to the defence argument. This meant that they had to read the submission, which proved beyond reasonable doubt that the defendant was innocent.
It is reasonable to expect that this ground-breaking case result would catch the attention of the mainstream media and given wide exposure. But no, the MSM is entirely captive of the man-made global warming scam. So it never appeared anywhere except in the mostly silenced organisations that reject the scam.
More recently, on January 26 this year an organisation called Climate Change Dispatch published the results of scientifically valid experiments that proved beyond doubt that CO2 cannot cause global warming. But of course it can be found only in online publications. Reports such as these would never be accepted for publication by so-called authoritative journals such as Nature or Scientific American.
https://climatechangedispatch.com/co2-warming-lab-tests-greenhouse-theory/
370
All observations and experiments prove that carbon dioxide warming by infrared radiation is a ‘Hoax’ because the result is always ‘Zero’.
The first known experiment to show ‘Zero’ was when Robert Williams Wood used rock salt for an experiment to prove Tyndall wrong. He built a glass house with panes consisting of rock salt which is transparent to visible light as well as infrared light. He did not find any difference in temperature.
The last known experiment to show ‘Zero’ was the Greenhouse-Effect-In-a-Bottle Experiment by Nikolov-Zeller, which shows that John Tyndall’s 1860 experimental error was ‘not’ keeping the thermopile at one bar pressure. This experimental error is the origin of the ‘Hoax’.
The best observation to show ‘Zero’ was the Magellan probe observation of Venus. Venus, with a quarter of a million times more carbon dioxide than the Earth’s atmosphere, provides the best answer to the problem, by showing that carbon dioxide produces ‘zero’ warming above the lapse rate. The carbon dioxide atmosphere of Venus is at one bar pressure at an altitude of 30.75 miles. The temperature on Venus at that altitude is 1.176 times the Earth’s average surface temperature. The radiating temperature of Venus is 1.176 times that of the Earth, proving that input from the Sun and a change to thermal inertia due to pressure as a precise function of altitude are all that is needed to calculate the atmospheric greenhouse effect.
NASA data from the Magellan probe shows that infrared radiative warming by carbon dioxide is ‘Zero’ and therefore can be scientifically defined as a fraudulent ‘hoax’. The worlds top living expert on the subject, retired MIT Professor of Atmospheric Physics, Dr. Richard Lindzen, said that “Man-made Climate Change” is a quasi-religious movement predicated on an absurd scientific narrative.
350
Paul,
You need to state your frames of reference when you quote Venus at “1.176 times the Earth’s average surface temperature.” Are your temperatures in Celsius, Fahrenheit or Absolute? It matters because 1.176 is the number for only one of these. There is a case for Absolute scale, with its zero at about -273.16 degrees Celsius. When comparing Venus to Earth, it is invalid to invoke Celsius whose zero is the “artificial” freezing point of water, which should not enter the argument.
Sorry if this reads like a nit pick – it is meant to help, not to criticise the rest of your argument. Geoff S
90
Kelvin. The average temperature on Venus at 30.75 miles altitude is 339 Kelvin and 1.176 times the Earth’s average surface temperature of 288 Kelvin. The Standard Planetary Gray Body (SPGB) radiating temperature of Venus is 181 Kelvin and 1.176 times that of the Earth at 154 Kelvin, proving that input from the Sun and a change to thermal inertia due to pressure as a precise function of altitude are all that is needed to calculate the atmospheric greenhouse effect.
00
Thanks for the addition, Paul.
Now, if we can only encourage more authors to quote proper uncertainty estimates with their calculations.
Geoff S.
10
I noted yesterday that MS Copilot now recognises the ocean surface temperature limit of 30C. I got that confirmed by asking the question-
Why doesn’t ocean surface ever sustain more than 30C?
Vicki got a similar response using Grok.
So the surface temperature limiting is now widely recognised. That invalidates all climates models because they inevitably show tropical ocean surface temperature increasing.
The CO2 radiation impact of Happer et el is inconsequential. It might have relevance to a court ruling but it still has no merit from the perspective of real physics.
This year, the regulating process will reject 52.8ZJ. That is solar EMR that will not even enter Earth’s atmosphere due to the reflective power of high altitude atmospheric ice.
The linked paper gives real insight into the measured influence of CO2 using high spectral resolution data from AIRS:
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1911.10605
The paper arrives at an answer of 0.36W/m^2 for the 37ppm increase over the period observed. When you look at the detail you see that all daytime data had to be removed because it was dominated by reflected EMR. Only 11% of the nighttime data was sufficiently clear to extract the CO2 signal. So after discarding 94.6% of the available data, the author arrived at a figure for CO2 absorption.
But the CO2 absorption does not mean that it can alter the temperature because there are much more powerful temperature regulating processes at play. And these are widely known; just ask Copilot or Grok.
Anyone who produces a surface temperature influence of CO2 more than 0.00#C is still in need of a clue.
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‘ … which proved beyond reasonable doubt that the defendant was innocent.’
Terrific! Has anyone told grok.
11
There have been Australian Courts hearing about an alleged rape on a Federal Government minister’s desk after hours. One Judge, early in the story opined that there were only two people who knew if a rape took place or not – obviously the two people who chose to Tango – or not to.
Later in the legal proceedings, another Judge found that, “on the balance of probabilities” a rape had indeed occured. Severe penalties followed.
This finding not only amazed me, it frightened me. How can a person decide a fact when the only 2 people who knew of it speak the opposite, one saying there was a rape, the other saying there was not? In essence, one witness is “making stuff up” in modern terminology. So the Judge acting on the balance is actually casting his/her personal wisdom with a roughly 50:50 of agreeing with made up stuff.
If this type of procedure is allowed to continue, all of us should be afraid because we have no protection against a synthetic fit up.
My plea is to be careful about findings made “beyond reasonable doubt” be they in law or in science. Geoff S
260
The Hague is a bit different to a local court dealing with a rape case, its about the science.
‘The empirical proof that an elephant weighs more than a mouse is observation. The scientific proof is to put both on a scale and weigh them. All agree that from 1950 to 1985, our atmosphere cooled very slightly. It did the same from 1997 to 2015.
‘During both periods, carbon dioxide (CO2) levels rose dramatically.
‘That is empirical proof that CO2 does not cause warming. It is fifty-five years of proof. It is the elephant in the room.’ (Climate Despatch)
81
All agree that the World warmed up between 1898 and 1940 (roughly) while CO2 rose slightly.
It cooled slightly in the between 1942 and 1979. (It may well have cooled between 1946/7 (very cold winter in UK,Europe) and 1962 (even worse winter in UK, Europe) despite some scientific types claiming that the Arctic would soon be ice free (early carbon dioxide delusions) with the CO2 level rising more.
The first International Conference on Global Warming was held in 1983 (from memory) and by 1988 the hysteria was in full swing. Glaciers and any ice left (in the Arctic) would soon melt causing many island nations would soon be under water (e.g. The Seychelles). By 1989 hysteria took over with claims about “children in England not knowing what snow was” etc. And, as far as I know, holiday seekers haven’t abandoned the too heated Mediterranean for summer in Blackpool. This despite CO2 rising faster. It has reached the level previously seen in the Eemian times – which curiously humans managed to survive).
50
The great climate shift of 1976, caused by a PDO phase change to positive, saw the development of the global warming hoax.
20
Seems to be some errors in that summary.
Mileudefensie won the case in 2021.
Court decision (one of them)
RDS is Royal Dutch Shell.
Initial case judgement https://www.climatecasechart.com/documents/milieudefensie-et-al-v-royal-dutch-shell-plc-judgment_4679
.
There is no pronouncement of innocent. Defendants don’t prove their innocence. In criminal cases the decision is either guilty or not guilty. Never innocent. It’s a ruling on the prosecutions case. Not a ruling on the defendant’s innocence.
But anyway, this was a civil case. Beyond reasonable doubt is not typically the civil threshold. It was about whether Shell had an obligation to reduce emissions by 45%. Not just their own, but also that of the users of their product. (Scope 3 mentioned by the court relates to emissions by others using their product)
After Shell lost the initial case, they appealed. Their appeal was successful. But it was not a victory as described in the summary posted at #1.
As a very high level summary. (My interpretation)
The appeals court did not find factual errors in the first decision in relation to climate change.
The reason the decision was overturned was because Shell had on the record its stated aims to reduce its emissions. That it has not yet achieved its own targets yet, and still had time to do so, was not a breach of human rights.
Also, The appeals court determined it was unreasonable for the district court to have imposed a 45% target by 2030 given that targets vary in different jurisdictions.
It seems that the appeals court is of the opinion, or at least didn’t disagree with the district court, that CO2 is the main greenhouse gas. That human caused greenhouse gas emissions are a problem. That climate change is our greatest threat.
Before the red thumbs come. 😆 I’m not stating my opinion. I’m saying what the judgements appear to say.
The decision is by no means a good outcome for those who disagree with the notion of AGW, or disagree CO2 is causing warming.
A couple of the appeals courts conclusions. (In part)
Seems they didn’t agree with whatever Lindzen, Happer, or others submitted to dispel the notion that CO2 is a problem.
Appeals judgement.
https://www.climatecasechart.com/documents/milieudefensie-et-al-v-royal-dutch-shell-plc-judgment_7bfb
.
Mileudefensie has appealed to the next court. The matter is not finalised.
30
US treasury secretary Scott Bessant called a crisis meeting with Wall street bank officials this week over “Mythos” a new AI system from Anthropic which it is clamed could destroy the financial system, The Bank Of England are also holding a crisis meeting on the subject.
Readers here will know of my concerns at the advance of digitisation and AI systems which have the ability to upend the world we have known, of which smartphones and our computers are the most obvious manifestation of the problems that could be caused by hacking or theft of identity.
However all this is now threatened on a much wider scale as we increasingly believe we must push ever further and faster to complete digitisation and interlinking of our systems, and the abandonment of analogue solutions which could put a brake on excesses What a very complicated world we have created over the last 15 years or so, which has had a highly detrimental effect on our abilities to interact personally with each other, our freedoms and seems to have done little to improve our happiness and prosperity.
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AI has improved my happiness and prosperity. I now do much better research in much less time so I do more of it and this is my livelihood.
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I am pleased for you David.
20
Trouble is one anectdote never tells the full story. The Krupps did well out of WW2, therefore WW2 was good?
131
I do not see your point. Hundreds of millions of people, maybe billions, are using AI to usefully answer simple questions. There is no analog to WWII here.
20
I remember a time when I wanting to know something and had to go to a large library and sort through hundreds of small cards to find a reference. I’d write that down and give it to a person via an opening into a room(s) with a vast number of books and accumulated magazines. Minutes later I would have the book in-hand that might, or might not, have the information I was seeking. If not — back to the card catalog. Fun times!
Now “my livelihood” doesn’t depend on learning things but I do enjoy it and haven’t been rooting around in a card catalogue for about 20 years.
120
Yes, my wife and I also enjoy the personal side, quickly getting answers when a question comes up which they do often. We do much musing.
71
Yes, on an individual basis, it is an amazing tool. Like you and undoubtedly many others on this site, I am an information junkie. So, AI s obviously n amazing tool. I am very aware of its dangers. AI instruments like Grok are programmed to learn and interact with users. Sometimes that is very amusing but I understand the mechanism involved. But the utility of AI even on a domestic basis is astonishing. We are on a farm and technicians are at a distance and difficult to engage. In the last couple of weeks AI assistance has enabled us to rectify a TV problem and a security camera problem without costly outside help. I have also had amazing veterinary advice for cattle when the vet is one hour away.
130
I enjoy using AI to help plan holidays …..I type in where, when, how and what and it spits out in less than a minute an itinerary …I can refine it, it’ll will give approximate costs, suggest hotels, travel companies, day tours etc etc…..excellent start to the planning….
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Copied from a current meme
To replace programmers with robots, clients will have to accurately describe what they want.
We’re safe.
50
More broadly: https://www.cfact.org/2026/02/27/ai-may-bring-a-cognitive-renaissance-to-human-thinking/
Billions of people getting better information faster is likely to be very good.
81
Both Copilot and Grok already know that ocean surface temperature cannot sustain more than 30C. I spent a couple of years trying to convince their CSIRO of this fact but they were collectively too thick to understand it.
The fact that an electrical engineer is responsible for Grok gives it potential to apply physics and observation to human understanding of the universe rather than fairy tales.
130
“Billions of people getting better information faster is likely to be very good.”
Maybe… You have just put an intermediate into your chain of work, like using a real estate agent to buy a house.
He will no doubt sell you a house, but he may not show you all the options you could find without him.
You might be looking for the information AI does not show you, but its easier to believe that what you are given is the best of all information.
20
David,
I enjoy reading your articles. I do hope that you have not relaxed the quality control of your input data. If I can argue with extremes, it is potentially efficient to ask AI if the quality control for a piece of research is adequate, rather than personally checking quality piece by piece as hitherto.
I have in mind some recent revelations that nearly all university students now use AI to compose answers to written exams. Further, the examiners know this – some examiners even admit that they use AI to write the exam questions. Now, it is often said that Science advances by the questioning of current wisdom and its replacement by improved versions. We appear to have a problem if AI is to replace this process of advancement. Who is going to have the future skill to create advancement material if their education was skipped in favour of potted AI? How can AI advance its current wisdom when people are not updating it because of a circular loop that feeds on the AI library to update the AI library? Geoff S
60
I am talking about finding simple well known but hard to find facts. I cannot imagine using AI to find out if the “quality control for a piece of research is adequate”. I am sure experts would differ on the answer so there is no unique answer. Much of the criticism of AI chatbots comes from people expecting them to do what cannot be done.
60
When talking about ‘better information’, you may not know if that is factual or reliable. Are you then reduced to asking one AI to check the facts of another AI? Sounds a bit like asking Greta Thunberg to check Chris Bowen’s utterances.
If these so called artificial intelligence programs are merely trawling the internet and regurgitating the content, they will all eventually agree won’t they?
Disclaimer – I only know enough about computers to post this comment.
30
I have to admit that Mythos’s 0day detection was impressive and the potential for misuse equally so.
Find a bug or 50 in a national power system and exploit it – light out time!
I’m surpised by David W’s usage of AI though.
“simple well known but hard to find facts” ?
Can you provide an example?
I don’t use consumer AI at all; I have no need.
10
With the straits of Hormuz still closed, oil is in increasingly short supply which will be reflected at the garage fuel pumps and also those traveling by plane
https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/europe-airlines-jet-fuel/2026/04/10/id/1252535/
We are off ourselves to Naples next week so hope the 3 week plus window for oil supply for jets holds, and we are back before we have to contemplate alternative methods of return such as Kayaking along Europe’s great rivers then a handy small dinghy across the Channel
We shall be visiting Roman Herculaneum which is better preserved than Pompeii and hopefully much less crowded.
151
Or you could hitch a lift on one of the rubber boats that seem to provide a regular taxi service across the English Channel /s
290
Hi Tony. I have been to Herculaneum, and yes, although it is a smaller site, there are amazing houses where their stores are still in a state of preservation.Pompeii, of course, is a large town with the full array of facilities preserved. But both are worth a couple of days of exploration. BTW a visit to Vesuvius is worthwhile if it is still allowed. Have a wonderful trip!
100
I doubt that hardline Iran leaders and including the dependent on milking Iran sources of energy wealth from exports will ever agree to supervision and no nuclear weapons demand.
10
In Australia, despite our “Ban on Nuclear”, we operate a nuclear reactor.
It is strange but true.
After a few years of ops, we will have acquired “spent” nuclear “fuel” from our “Opal” reactor.
Hmmm… So what do we do with that “Nuclear” waste in Australia ?
Glad you asked.
It is boxed, transported, heavily escorted, shipped, processed offshore and returned.
(I was a part of that process).
Do you all understand that we currently store nuclear waste in “Anti Nuclear Australia”?
We have safely done so for decades. Some of it is within 500m of residential backyards.
Now who tells you that?… No one.. Not your (Anti nuclear) Gov or your lamestream media.
https://www.nuclearaustralia.org.au/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/ANA-Article-Waste-v3.pdf
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William,
We can but hope that you use your deep experience with nuclear technology to canvass actively against the inexperienced, ignorant drivel that anti-nuclear people have been feeding into the population for decades now. For reasons that I cannot understand, they have been allowed to spread dangerous propaganda into schools, some of it apparently labelled as endorsed by government authorities who should be questioning it then banning it.
For too long now, we have been told that “green” solutions to environmental concerns are the only credible ones. This is as stupid as “vegans” claiming that only “vegan” diets are acceptable for daily food intake.
Disclosure: I am a scientist who has worked with the nuclear fuel cycle, for example with the discovery and development of the globally important Ranger uranium deposits.
I do not glow in the dark. I show zero medical symptoms of radiation harm. Geoff S
160
Some year ago a Geologist friend was ‘doing time’ at a Government Department as a consultant. He wasn’t that keen only getting out of his house a few days a week.
The entire Department was in turmoir because in their warehouse miles away near the port (which dealt with yellow cake exports and someone had found a plastic bag of “URANIUM” which no-one was allowed to(or to scared) to touch. It had been sitting on one of the shelves and every body was afraid to touch it and no ways of moving it were considered suitable.
Eventually he was down at the warehouse and asked the local supervisor (who didn’t now what the fuss was about) who pointed it out. The geologist asked if one of the (about 40) drums of yellowcake about to be loaded next day had a “loose lid”.
The local bloke (who had seen thousands of drums passing through) took a spanner out and said the nearest drum had a loose lid which his spanner could feel. My mate picked up the bag and dropped it into the drum, and said you might have to tighten that lid “just in case”.
Nothing was ever heard about this scary hazard ever again.
130
G3,
A school in Perth asked me about giving lessons on radioactivity. I told them I would send a teaching aid, a plastic strip like a paddle pop used with a tiny amount of gamma radiation baked to to show how a Geiger counter works. The packaging included the word radioactive and it had the usual symbol and the dose.
A few hours after I posted it, I had a frantic call from a post office. “We have cleared the building and now want to know which authorities to contact to dispose of the danger.”
Therefore, to the ignorant, meddling green activists who peddle misinformation about radioactivity, I send a sarcastic “Thank you. Thank you for deliberate, malicious spreading of known misinformation about radioactivity. If you get a thrill from harming the population, think again before you play with fire”. Sheesh! Geoff S
10
Here is the ANSTO explanation;
https://www.ansto.gov.au/education/nuclear-facts/managing-radioactive-waste
Also note that recycling of spent fuel rods containing depleted uranium is now being applied and fuel rods recycled, can be a number of times after the uranium is enriched. And what was waste is now considered to be assets.
20
The ban on nuclear power stations was legislated years after the first nuclear power station project was cancelled after it had started construction phase at Jervis Bay NSW near Nowra on Commonwealth Land. The decision was part economics and part discoveries of an abundance of coal and gas natural resources, the government of that period decided to stick to the coal fired power stations, Snowy Mountains Hydro Electric Scheme Project under construction, and approved and opened in 1958 the first nuclear reactor for producing radio isotopes (nuclear medicine and commercial applications) and research purposes. The now ANSTO – Australian Nuclear Science Technology Organisation was AAAEC – Australian Atomic Energy Commission.
Back when Australia’s atomic destiny was decided in the form of a Commonwealth ban on power production, nuclear was considered a dirty word.
It was 1998 and then prime minister John Howard was wedged into a deal with the Greens and Democrats in order to build a new nuclear facility in Sydney, the site of Australia’s only reactor since 1958 which is used for medical applications such as radiation treatments and x-rays.
In order to get a new reactor at Lucas Heights, 40km south of the CBD, Mr Howard agreed to a last-minute amendment to the National Radiation and Nuclear Safety Act after a debate that lasted less than half an hour and introduced legislation banning any more nuclear facilities from being built in Australia.
20
Dennis,
My account agrees with yours.
In the early 1970s after we discovered world class uranium at Ranger One, we frequently took advice from the Australian Atomic Energy Commission at Lucas Heights because we had to come up to steam on radioactivity, particularly safety aspects. They were staffed by highly qualified people. One had a D.Sc. which was rare back then.
There was demonization of ‘nuclear’ in Australia by 1970. Much of it was imported from countries with nuclear electricity, like Great Britain, Germany and USA. A pinnacle of stupidity was reached by Jane Fonda in the movie “The China Syndrome’ released in 1979.
One can understand public fear of nuclear bombs, so it was a piece of cake for the sad anti-anything mob to go anti-nuclear against peaceful uses like electricity generation.
The anti- movement has succeeded because it has not been called out and opposed by enough responsible people like you and Jo and me and other readers here. The mass media was and is particularly to blame by treating these economic terrorists as cute friendly harmless folk instead of recording what was wrong with their messaging and refusing to print their misinformation. Geoff S
10
The Daily Sceptic says: Ireland’s fuel crisis has escalated as protesters demanding suspension of the carbon tax have blocked access to a major oil refinery and fuel depots and the Government has called in the military. Sky News has more. BREITBART Reports: Leftist Irish Government Threatens to Deploy Army Against Farmer-Trucker Anti-Fuel Tax Protest
180
The German government is contemplating a law requiring real estate tradespersons to be trained in how to spot right wing extremists so that they may avoid running afoul of the accompanying part of the law that forbids renting or selling to said ‘extremists’.
I wonder what single physical characteristic might be the first clue for suspicion?
Could it be the one where observation of all other possibilities would be an act of illegal housing discrimination?
140
Maybe right-wing extremists should be required to wear an article of clothing that makes it easier for proper progressive ‘good’ Germans to identify them. A badge of some sort, sewn onto an article of clothing perhaps?
https://p1.liveauctioneers.com/6202/200663/101564099_1_x.jpg?auto=webp&format=pjpg&quality=80&version=1618342505&width=512
Even better, they should only be allowed to live in designated neighborhoods or concentrated into camps managed by the government, complete with central bathing facilities and large industrial kitchens.
181
Inflexible knee joints and a toothbrush moustache always gives them away.
121
It would appear the German Government only have to look in a mirror to find such “people”, this also runs the risk of them having a Narcissus event and falling in love with the idea of authoritarian control……………never mind.
110
‘ … first clue for suspicion?’
Swarthy complexion with a beard.
61
FWIW
“Manufactured Savings: How Ember Turns Assumptions into Energy Policy”
“Ember’s latest report, confidently asserting that “clean power fortifies Britain against gas price shocks,” arrives wrapped in the language of analysis but functions as something closer to strategic persuasion. The numbers are crisp, the tone authoritative, and the conclusion conveniently aligned with current political messaging. What sits underneath is a sequence of assumptions and omissions that consistently point in one direction.
Consider the central claim:
“Great Britain has saved around £7 million a day… as domestic solar PV and wind capacity has removed the need for importing gas.” (Solar Power Portal)
That sentence carries the weight of an observed fact. It reads as though someone checked the accounts and discovered a daily saving. But the report itself makes clear—if one reads beyond the headline—that this figure is derived from a hypothetical:”
More at
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2026/04/11/manufactured-savings-how-ember-turns-assumptions-into-energy-policy/
60
In the climactic final month of the southern hemisphere’s Cyclone Season there are absolutely zero tropical cyclones – can we now call Net Zero©️ a success? – however Storm Tassie Blizzard has dropped snow as far north as Victoria and NSW’s ski fields in an early hint of the coming winter:
https://www.mountainwatch.com/snow-cams
CCC©️ causes confusion as ex-TC Maila loses the plot and falls apart after aimlessly wandering around the Solomon Sea for over a week going round ‘n’ round in circles: Climate Action™️ at work?
http://reg.bom.gov.au/products/IDQ65002.shtml
As Maila fades, just to the north of the equator Typhoon Sinlaku whirls into life, its expected path taking it northwest towards Guam:
https://earth.nullschool.net/
Hopefully all links work; BoM’s occasionally drop-out but what can you expect for $1 mi!!ion per day – or was it $1 bi!!ion?
Ex-TC Vaianu is still packing a punch just off the northeast coast of NZ with 130 km/h gusts and 10m/30ft swells recorded on buoys in the Bay of Plenty: the ‘eye’ is expected to cross the coast at midday between Te Puke and Whakatane where people living on low-lying land, ie. sand dunes and/or drained & reclaimed estuarine swamps, have been advised to evacuate and head inland or for higher ground. At least White Island / Whakaari volcano hasn’t erupted… yet…
70
On another island far far away.
https://www.weatherzone.com.au/news/drifting-snow-and-damaging-winds-in-tasmania/1891303
21
Please make it stop – the Tazzie Blizzard is now eyeing up the South Island with SNOW TO 1200 METRES forecast Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday… whatever happened to *Global Warming*?
40
It might be the earliest start of the ski season, possibly a global cooling signal but its too early to call.
00
One Nation now the highest polling party in Victoria:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lgvkcPVMfJs
It will take a good leader to dig Victoria out of the hole it is now in. There is no magic wand for this mess.
Victoria needs three “new” lignite fired power stations by 2050. Pushing the existing ones at minimum unit cost output will help fire the economy but they need capital injection to lower the maintenance burden. And then upgrade plans for their gradual replacement.
190
FWIW – re Iran
Looks like a “min(e)or hiccup” with opening the strait
“You couldn’t make 2026 up. Behold, this morning the New York Times ran a frontpage story headlined, “Iran Unable to Find Mines It Planted in Strait of Hormuz, U.S. Says.” Honey! Where did I put my mines? The sub-headline explained, “The lost mines have prevented Iran from quickly complying with President Trump’s demand to allow more ships to pass through the waterway.” It’s only going to hurt for a very long time.”
More in
https://open.substack.com/pub/coffeeandcovid/p/little-lost-mine-saturday-april-11?
20
And
“NEW: US Navy Warships Cross Strait of Hormuz For First Time; UPDATE: Mine Clearing Begins”
https://hotair.com/ed-morrissey/2026/04/11/signals-us-navy-warships-cross-strait-of-hormuz-n3813789
30
Mine clearing had begun, which means 2 important conditions have been full filled.
1. Iran is not laying new mines
2. Mine clearing vessels can operate safely in the Strait.
Either Iran cannot lay more mines and launch drones and missiles against the USN or they have agreed not to!
It is possible that Trump has set them a test. If they breach their agreement expect immediate destruction of the Kharg island oil shipping facility.
90
How the mines are cleared;
https://www.19fortyfive.com/2026/03/how-america-can-hunt-irans-underwater-mines-in-the-strait-of-hormuz-laser-helicopters-ai-drones-and-sonar-that-maps-the-ocean-floor/
40
All their mine laying vessels are resting comfortably on the bottom. That’s not to say they can’t use unconventional means to lay them [Ukraine does with land mines] but it would be counterproductive to lay them in their own waters, where they want to herd shipping to extract a toll.
I believe the story that they are so disorganised that they don’t know where they all are.
20
Setting the mines was occurring during the first few days of the conflict with small boats under a lot of pressure from USAF. There were bound to be issues with locating them. I doubt they are all anchored mines. They could be anywhere now.
The prime request from the USA for help was mine clearance. The USA is no doing that presumably without risk of surface attack. But not without threat of attack. Or threat from mines.
The Strait of Hormuz is the main leverage IRGC has left.
70
Every time The Pentagon or the MSM make a claim, my sources have said the opposite and been right every single time.
All hype, bluster and outright lies from the USA.
This isn’t ending anytime soon, unlike our fuel supplies.
33
People are enthusiastic to leap on this when there is no evidence apart from US statement that these mines even exist. Likewise as this story evolved there appears to be no evidence these ships even exist. If exist they are claimed to be destroyers which dont do mine clearing.
I strongly suspect it’s all theatrics around the Islamabad talks. The Donald talking it up lends further weight to theatrics. But yep, US says, so carry on.
00
Another nail in the UN coffin https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z0KU31JcGCU.
I had some interest in Rhodesia and RCA politics since a colleague told me about his life there.
More importantly – what is going to happen to the rest of Africa?
50
UN is a disgrace. The radical left globalism they foster is disaster for the world. Humanity will realise in time that POTUS Trump is doing God’s work in defunding this parasite.
UNIPCC runs out of funding in 2028.
161
FWIW
Careful of the polls you cite!
“BEYOND PARODY: Newsweek Publishes Poll Saying Majority of Americans Want Trump Impeached – Admits Poll Was Conducted by a Group Called ‘Impeach Trump Again’”
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2026/04/beyond-parody-newsweek-publishes-poll-saying-majority-americans/
90
Of course the Socialist Democrats will again if they have the always all important numbers of seats I keep posting about are needed here as well
00
Leaker arrested:
https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/fbi-arrests-former-army-employee-230725643.html
30
The kicker to that story is that the journalist she leaked to included her name and job in his book. The moral of this story is if you are going to leak, be sure not to leak to an incompetent moron.
I’d also wager there is a better than 50:50 chance that they’ll eventually get around to charging the journalist with actively soliciting the leak. It’s legal to report on classified information passively obtained, but if you actively solicit/aid in the leak it is not.
80
US politics is fascinating.
‘Dozens of Democrats this week called for a premature end to Trump’s second term—either through impeachment or the Constitution’s 25th Amendment—as much of the party’s base expresses outrage at Democrats’ inaction. Yet there is scant appetite for such an effort before the midterms from party leadership—as well as from swing-state lawmakers and those who see it as the kind of therapy presenting as governance that risks sapping the party’s momentum.’ (Time)
02
Fascinating in the same way a car crash is fascinating.
It’s silly season. They’re powerless and they know it, so they’re throwing every cockamamie idea they can come up with out there in hopes that it might energize their base. Unfortunately for them, they are the boy who cried wolf, and their base has stopped listening. They’ve already impeached him twice and everyone expects they’ll impeach again (and again) if they win midterms. And once again, they’ll fail to convict in the Senate, rendering the impeachment moot.
The 25th amendment talk is even dumber, since they have no say in that regardless of what happens in midterms. It is entirely up to the Vice President and the cabinet. Congress has no say. And even if they did have some say the 25th was not created to remove presidents based on policy disagreements. It is ONLY for removing presidents who are physically unable to perform their duties (like Wilson, FDR, and Biden at the end of their terms [all democrats]). One might even call it demagoguery to even bring it up.
80
The same tactic employed here by Union Labor Greens and others, primarily directed at the Liberal National LNP Coalition parties, and individual MPs, Howard, Abbott, Morrison, Dutton and now Taylor and Canavan.
Relentless negativity!
Otherwise described in political circles as throwing mud or painting, keep covering the political oppoent/s until the voters cannot see or remember their past credits and have stuck into their minds misinformation, a classic is the 2019 bushfires about that family holiday in Hawaii PM Morrison and family, ignoring that the Deputy PM was on duty. Also ignoring that States are responsibly for natural disasters and other emergencies, State Emergency Service, for bushfires Rural Fire Service NSW, and other State Government Departments
And as in the USA, United States, Commonwealth of Australia has Federation of States and they established a Federal Commonwealth Government
70
I assumed the Democrats were hoping that the midterms will be a disaster for the Republicans. Nevertheless, US democracy is unworkable because theocratic influence is rife.
‘The contemporary Christian nationalist movement in the US unites Christians from disparate denominations. Hegseth represents the Reformed/Calvinist wing, which is distinct from the charismatic evangelicalism practiced by figures such as the White House “faith office” adviser, Paula White-Cain. A third camp are Catholic Integralists, who want to integrate church and state; adherents include Steve Bannon and the Project 2025 architect Kevin Roberts.’ (Guardian)
08
That’s the dumbest thing I’ve ever read.
There is no ‘Christian Nationalist’ movement in America.
However, I’m thinking the UK should get one before it’s too late.
Bro, seriously, do you not recognize the deeply organized assault on nationalism in general.
You know that ‘Climate Change’ was never scientifically supported, and was a thinly disguised campaign to override nation state legal structures?
An effort of European effete intellectuals, or in common language people who don’t work a living, to create some fantasy new order with them as Kings and Queens back in charge just like the old days.
And they have electricity and you don’t.
Honest to God, I can’t tell if pinheads like the Guardian actually believe this stuff, or just lying to manipulate the uninformed.
Here’s an informed capable political leader giving you important information.
Biden delivers speech on “battle for the soul of the nation” in Philadelphia | full speech
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NA3Outfs7K8
Provided by another trustworthy journalistic organization, CBS News.
50
Nationalism is so last century , never ending wars, Viktor Orban is a Nationalist and the people will give him the finger.
07
‘Christian Nationalism’ is a nonexistent bugbear created by the press to keep their viewers terrified of their fellow Americans.
Americans are slightly more religious than Europeans or other members of the European diaspora, but zealous bible thumpers who live, eat and breathe their religion are few and far between. Catholicism is the largest denomination, but only because the Protestants are split into so many different denominations and don’t particularly get along. And even American Catholicism has it’s various cliques. Some follow a more muscular Catholicism (this is partiularly true among immigrants, both legal and illegal), while others lean towards a more secular Catholicism that pretty much ignores doctrine other than Jesus being a super-nice guy who loves everyone. There are some on the nuttier end of the Evangelical Protestant wing of American denominations who might believe in something vaguely similar to the ‘Christian Nationalism’ that is supposed to terrify us all, but they a few voices among many and a tiny minority among American believers. The idea their is some monolithic Christian Nationalist movement is patently ridiculous. It’s scare-mongering at it’s finest.
30
No deal yet in Pakistan:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ys9S_OmqJjo
Vance has given Iran the red lines they cannot cross.
I suspect if there are attacks on the USN vessels in the Persian Gulf then Iran will lose its electricity grid.
It has to be tough for Iran now because every movement is under close scrutiny. US will know if a missile operator farts.
Kudos to Pakistan for providing the venue and brokering the talks.
70
We now know what happens when the irresistible force meets the immovable object: They spit the dummy and go back to war.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZmInkxbvlCs
30
And there is no solution other than to use superior force and technology maybe not yet revealed by US?
30
Heat domes are a weather phenomenon, Australia experienced the event in February.
They also seem to be common in the US.
https://notrickszone.com/2026/04/11/german-expert-heat-dome-led-to-record-temps-in-western-usa-warmer-in-1934-1936/
02
Why is it called a heat dome?
What is it?
10
Blocking High Pressure
‘The actual cause of the record high temperatures is what is happening higher in the atmosphere — a stationary high-pressure system has anchored itself a few kilometres above NSW, and since winds blow away from high pressure, its elevated position is forcing air down towards the surface.
‘This compression process leads to a rapid warming of an air mass by about 10C per kilometre of descent, leading to a dome of hot air over the surface.’ (ABC)
02
Canadian leader Mark Carney spent half a MILLION dollars of taxpayers’ money on plane food in his first year as Prime Minister
The data was released after questions were filed in the Canadian House of Commons.
Carney reportedly spent $21,159 on catering during a two-hour flight on his first official visit to Washington DC to meet Donald Trump on May 5.
The most expensive trip came during a visit to the United Arab Emirates and the G20 summit in Johannesburg, where $158,986.43 was reportedly spent on catering.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-15725253/mark-carney-canada-plane-food-spending.html
There won’t be bugs on the menu for the bloated pollie piggies..
60
FWIW
“Rare Earth Leverage and Pressure Points on U.S. Technological Power”
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2026/04/11/rare-earth-leverage-and-pressure-points-on-u-s-technological-power/
00
FWIW
“Vance: No Deal – And That’s Bad News For Iran; Update: Vance Exits ASAP”
https://hotair.com/ed-morrissey/2026/04/11/vance-no-deal-and-thats-bad-news-for-iran-n3813817
Would that be “Too much taqiyya?”
20
And “inshallah” in action?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inshallah
00
Slow learners.
80
“Softly, softly, catchee monkey”
Flushed right out into the open this time
And (IIRC), when Mohamed’s armies took over some places the transition was relatively benign. With Persia it was convert or the sword and the Zoroastrian literature was burnt.
Taken a lot longer than 47 years for the Persian element of the population to get within spitting distance of retaliation.
30
‘The Iranians have never seemed to grasp reality.’
More correctly, the theocratic Iranian regime and the Christian regime in Washington are being irrational. If only they realised there is more than one god, it would alleviate the pressure.
05
No it wouldn’t.
Decades of deeply ingrained religious-based hatred won’t change.
End all religions and live in the real world instead.
Maybe in a few centuries time, or when disclosure happens.
31
The “lay down misère” that was socialism then?
10
‘ … or when disclosure happens.’
They are concerned that a tactical nuclear weapon might be discharged, so now its in the lap of the gods.
02
“The Iranians have never seemed to grasp reality. ”
Neither do the Yanks..
So all the crying is because the two sides can’t agree on a common treaty. The Americans have their 15points, the Iranians their 10, and neither will budge. So what, that’s pretty normal… but it get reported as-
“Vice President announced he would withdraw from talks after the Iranian regime refused to come off of their list of demands. ”
So the Yanks expect Iran to give up their demands and accept the American ones. That’s not how it works.
..and this is pure propaganda for the West’s consumption-
“It took 21 hours for the American negotiators in Islamabad to confirm what we’ve known about the regime in Iran for the last 47 years. The IRGC won’t ever negotiate in good faith. ”
…said the Americans who break every agreement they make! They started the bombing of Iran while previous negotiations were still underway.
“The Iranians may be asking themselves why Vance is in such a rush to leave.”… because he knows the missiles are on the way to kill the negotiators, that’s how the West works! Trump needed a break to re-arm and reassemble his forces, that’s all the ceasefire was about.
Well, expect to be walking in a month.
55
““The Iranians may be asking themselves why Vance is in such a rush to leave.”… ”
I heard that an Oz agricultural aid team looked like they were going to have trouble leaving Pakistan because their recommendations “were deemed inadequate”.
And their recommendations weren’t “clanger level” like he delivered
10
You’ve got the attention span of a gold fish. The war is because the “Down with America” crowd want to destroy America with an atomic bomb.
Now that’s not hard to understand, is it?
OK, one bomb won’t “destroy” America. What harm can one little bomb do?
41
You are quite right Hanrahan,the atomic bomb is highly over-rated. One bomb would do nothing in comparison to the ten thousand America and Russia have. Sure, you might blow up a bit of wherever in America, but its a trade of all Iran a radioactive ruin for that one part of a city in the USA. That doesn’t even count the negative publicity for Muslims and Shiites in particular all around the world, they would be outcasts everywhere.
Call me when Iran has a few hundred.
21
You think Europeans won’t mind if they lose one city? I mean, they have so many…
It only takes the threat of one, and everything changes. Each country falls over themselves to make sure they are not the chosen target. They all agree to whatever the terrorists want.
40
FWIW
“Britain’s Suicide Continues”
https://hotair.com/david-strom/2026/04/10/britains-suicide-continues-n3813774
30
FWIW
“These Are the New Car Features That Can Be the Most Expensive to Repair in 2026
The tech gadgets and performance features that could make you and your wallet wince when they break.”
https://www.motortrend.com/features/most-expensive-new-car-features-to-repair
10
The most expensive feature of new LDVs is what is missing. The corrosion protection.
A couple of owners have had full refund after complaining of serious rust issues after a few months. And ACCC now has LDV in court for making clearly incorrect claims about durability. A vehicle that is structurally compromised due to rust in a couple of years should not be given a durable tag.
60
A motorist opened their door into a mate’s near-new Pajero with disaster to her car, the car parked in front that hers was pushed into, and the Pajero’s front left guard/bumper/headlight/bonnet and door.
It limped home 250km because there is a sensor in that guard that took a hiding. Insurance are talking about writing it off.
The wreckers here has rows of modern cars that haven’t been in a smash, something broke and regulations/manufacturers make it too expensive to fix.
My ’83 Corolla daily has just clicked over 300,000km, long may it continue, no electronics in it that I haven’t fitted myself.
30
Leaded petrol era. Time to modernise by a decade. 😁
00
? to “fix” a problem he clearly doesn’t have
30
FWIW
“WOULD THAT BE ALL OF THEM? These Are the New Car Features That Can Be the Most Expensive to Repair in 2026.”
“These Are the New Car Features That Can Be the Most Expensive to Repair in 2026
The tech gadgets and performance features that could make you and your wallet wince when they break.”
https://www.motortrend.com/features/most-expensive-new-car-features-to-repair
Via https://instapundit.com/788954/#disqus_thread
10
My current motor vehicle was purchased new in 2017 and has Euro-5 diesel compliance and particulate filter, I had installed a second diesel fuel filter and have since new used a commercial supplier on line purchases only additive that cleans the particulate filter and other diesel engine components, also good for dirty engines cleaning. I also use their injector cleaner additive. The exhaust is clean, no soot or moisture, just a slight grey matter on finger if rubbed inside the tailpipe. There is no smoke under power. Last book service 190,000kms which is well under my previous 4 years and 200,000 kms diesel before trading in and engine in excellent condition, same additives.
I considered changing over to a current same model diesel SUV 4WD last year but decided as mine looks like new (washed regularly and ceramic coating applied as a rinse on process) it has never been polished but paintwork shines brightly. No children or dog so interior well above average condition.
The considerations included what the link explains about longer term maintenance and repairs.
After 80,000 kms of country travel including WA and NT before pandemic travelling less since the original shock absorbers were replaced wth Heavy Duty US brand (forget brand name) and at 190,000 kms and shock absorbers still legal and not close to replacement essential I decided to upgrade the front and rear suspension with a heavier duty but standard height system including front struts and shock absorbers and rear coil springs and shock absorbers. I now plan to achieve 500,000 kms and save myself money and what others with later model vehicles complain about like lane monitoring.
50
Our last Toyota Landcruiser (the 40th Anniversary model) had travelled over 500,000km when we decided to trade the old girl in for the new model. It was prudent because of the mileage we do, but it was a sad day. The seats were still as comfortable as when new, with virtually no sag and little wear.
50
Aditives supplier Brisbane QLD – Cost Effective Maintenance
00
With due regard for the fuel problems, I heard about four Catholic Nuns who drove to Sydney from Western NSW and were accommodated at a Sydney Convent, they noticed an old chamber pot in a cupboard and asked permission to take it home with them, permission granted. As the drove west the car ran out of petrol so two hitched a ride with the pot to a service station and hitched a ride back to the car. As the four stood near the filler cap chamber pot lifted trying to pour petrol into the tank two Angican Ministers drove past, one said to the other did you see those Nuns, the other replied I did, we have to admire their faith.
60
I can turn wine into water, sorta similar story..
10
FWIW – He was definitely on our side then
https://accordingtohoyt.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/d2209e881fb209a0a97551f0ebc5d4bdeb9998c5d3f6635b0e0a49899af4d2e9.png?w=768
00
FWIW
“Comedic Governance”
“When I first saw the headline, I thought maybe my provincial government was finally seeing the bigger picture. But again I was disappointed. We’re still at the “definition” stage of micromanagement.
Manitoba Premier Wab Kinew says his government is working on the definition of a grocery store as it considers where to apply a tax cut on food.”
https://www.smalldeadanimals.com/2026/04/10/comedic-governance/
And comments
20
Life hacks
https://va.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_tdbqfqLwMU1zwrq1v.mp4
😁
60
FWIW – I guess Microsoft missed the point?
https://accordingtohoyt.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/fb_img_1775748916770.jpg
30
An academic’s view of the situation in the Middle East.
” “Israel’s Conventional Army Has Been Defeated” – Prof. John Mearsheimer On Iran War | APT ”
Apr 11, 2026
22 mins
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NIUdCjzSMEA
A reasonable brief assessment in my view.
00
FWIW “THIS MIGHT BE THE STUPIDEST THING I READ ALL YEAR: Climate change is outpacing evolution. Scientists are using DNA to catch up.
Apparently these “scientists” don’t know how evolution works. And they want to mess with DNA to “catch up.” Please, the stupid, it burns. Make it stop.”
https://instapundit.com/789034/#disqus_thread
00
Lithium battery recycling plant on fire in a Perth suburb. No chance of putting the fire out. Large cloud of toxic smoke drifting over houses. Residents urged to stay indoors, close all windows, turn off air conditioning. Nearby highway closed. Who would live close to such a plant?
60
Funny the way the world works. People don’t want to live near a nuclear facility because it “may” be dangerous even though these places have safety precautions built into their design. Lithium battery recycling centres are probably just rented factory space somewhere in suburbia. Which one is the greater health risk, I dunno.
70
That’s exactly what this one appears to be. And I doubt that it needed EPA approval to setup and operate.
20