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Tuesday

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    New onshore wind power is now illegal. We may have to convince FWS.

    Wind power’s eagle-kill permits are a deadly failure so permitting must stop
    By David Wojick
    https://www.cfact.org/2025/05/05/wind-powers-eagle-kill-permits-are-a-deadly-failure-so-permitting-must-stop/

    The beginning:
    “About 15 years ago the US Fish and Wildlife Service (FWS) determined that the golden eagle population could not withstand an increase in human caused mortality. But there was a great queue of proposed wind projects that wanted FWS permits to kill these eagles under the Eagle Protection Act, which would certainly increase the kill rate.

    In response the FWS created an offset program in which eagle deaths due to power pole electrocution would supposedly be reduced by an amount equal to the increased deaths due to wind turbines. We now know that this offset program has completely failed as there has been no reduction in electrocution deaths.

    The likely cause of this failure is that the FWS uses an electrocution death rate that is extremely incorrect. As a result the number of power poles that have been made safe is just a tiny fraction of what it would take to create the desired offset.

    The FWS should issue no more wind power eagle kill permits until this issue is resolved. Accurate power pole death rates need to be determined. Given there are over a hundred million poles in America the offset numbers may be so high that the program is not feasible. In that case wind development must stop.”

    Lots more in the article including technical analysis. Please share this article.

    Woohoo!

    David

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    David Maddison

    Make Australian history great again. Captain Cook did nothing wrong. And neither did the other European explorers that came and explored.

    1606 Willem Janszoon
    1606 Luis Vaez de Torres
    1616 Dirk Hartog
    1619 Frederick de Houtman
    1644 Abel Tasman
    1696 Willem de Vlamingh
    1699 William Dampier
    1770 James Cook
    1797–99 George Bass
    1801–03 Matthew Flinders

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      Broadie

      Maybe we should add La Perouse 1788. He may have pioneered the concept of Uber Eats with the proviso that now we do not eat the driver.

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      Huh! You learn about these early explorers in Primary School, (well, I suppose they still do) and being still just a child at school, well all of those explorers were, umm, you know, really old guys, eh!

      So here, let’s look at George Bass and Matthew Flinders.

      It’s actually hard to believe how young they were, and then, what they actually did.

      George Bass was ship’s Surgeon when he first arrived here. He was an amateur ‘yachtie’, so he got permission to strap his tiny little 8 foot boat to the back of the ship he was on, and when he did get here, he ‘tooled around’ Sydney Harbour in it.

      A young Leiutenant on the same ship, Matthew Flinders, asked if he could join him in this tiny little boat.

      After a while, they said, hey, let’s go have a bit of a look.

      So. in this tiny little boat they sailed ….. out through Sydney Heads, turned right, and headed off South, sometimes as far as what is now Woolongong.

      George was 24, and Matthew was 21.

      Governor Hunter, now ‘suitably impressed’, gave them a bigger boat, 18 foot, with six sailors, and said ….. “well off you go then, and try a little further South.”

      George and Matthew sailed it down the Coast almost to the Heads of Port Phillip Bay.

      George had this hunch.

      So, Hunter gave then the first boat built here in Oz, the Norfolk, an 18 tonner, still only small, built on Norfolk Island from the famed Norfolk Island Pines found there.

      He and Matthew set off again, found that ‘gap’ between (what is now) Victoria and then circumnavigated (and mapped) Van Diemens Land. (Now Tasmania)

      This was important, as it saved weeks off the trip from South Africa to (what is now) Sydney.

      George then got his own ship, headed off to South America, and was never seen again.

      Matthew went back to England, was then tasked with, umm, mapping the coastline of (what is now) Australia, again, in a small boat, and his maps are still correct, to this day.

      He recommended that ‘gap’ be called Bass Strait.

      Matthew was also instrumental in the naming of Australia as well, something he fruitlessly pursued until his death at just 40, and it wasn’t till many years later, it actually became known as Australia.

      Young Men In Boats, my own Post from 2008, when my home site’s owner asked me to write somthing about the early history of Australia, a five part series atthis link.

      Tony

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        Forrest Gardener

        Very good Tony.

        For the life of me I cannot understand the lives of the explorers. Nor in Australia can I understand the settlers who followed their paths only few years later.

        As for circumnavigating Tasmania in any boat let alone the boats of the day, in the immortal words of John McEnroe you cannot be serious!

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      Rowjay

      An addition to the list….
      2025 China

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    David Maddison

    Canada’s Leftist Carney Government has investigated (but not yet implemented) the idea of taxing the equity people have in their family home.

    Canada is about as much of an economic basket case as Australia with similiar levels of Federal Government debt.

    No doubt this is something the socialist Albanese regime will look at over the likely next ten years of Labor rule.

    Three minute Canadian video:

    https://x.com/JayGenXer/status/1919168609416327312

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    David Maddison

    Was Dutton misled about election polling?

    https://www.crikey.com.au/2025/05/05/peter-dutton-coalition-polling-ct-group-freshwater-strategy/

    Was Dutton dishonest about his internal polling, or misled? Liberals believe it’s the latter

    The opposition leader’s ‘quiet Australians’ failed to show up on Saturday. Party insiders are furious about the failure to pick up on the impending disaster.

    Freshwater Strategy, which also does polling for The Australian Financial Review, is directed by Turner, a former CT pollster. Turner acknowledged in a column for the AFR on Sunday that his firm had “underestimated” Labor’s strength, owing to three factors.

    The polling overestimated how many Labor voters would “defect” to the Coalition, “particularly those who voted No at the Voice referendum”, he wrote.

    “Second, for all the noise about the preference flows being different in a way that would substantially benefit Coalition performance, it appears that the outcome simply did not materialise. The primary vote collapse for the Coalition was too much for any benefit from additional preference flows,” Turner continued.

    “Third, the late swing. Given that all pollsters seem to have underestimated the swing to Labor, and everyone’s fieldwork would have been over the earlier days in that week, it strongly suggests that there was a late swing among ‘soft’ or undecided voters in the final days that was very hard for pollsters to pick up.”

    The Sydney Morning Herald reported on Sunday the Coalition’s own polling indicated it would get 37% of the national primary vote, in numbers presented three days out from election day. The actual result was closer to 32%. “It was definitely wrong,” a Liberal frontbencher told the SMH. “We spent millions of dollars on it and will be keen to know what went wrong.”

    SEE LINK FOR REST

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    David Maddison

    Copied from The Australian site on Farcebook. Also see link at https://www.theaustralian.com.au/author/ben-packham

    “Albanese, Wong dine with CCP friends”

    Labor has courted Beijing-backed property developers and senior figures in the Chinese Communist Party’s foreign influence arm in a pre-election push for donations and votes in key seats.

    Read more: https://bit.ly/4jycvzf

    PAYWALLED

    Good to know where Labor’s loyalties lie.

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    Geoffrey Williams

    Peter Dutton at least promised to give Australia Nuclear Power. And he got a thump for his troubles.

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      David Maddison

      There’s nothing wrong with nuclear but it was the wrong approach for Dutton.

      He only supported nuclear because he supported the Paris Accords and Net Zero and believed in anthropogenic global warming.

      He still wanted to build more windmills.

      The correct approach in the spirit of the Liberals not actually believing in anything in particular and having a bet both ways would have been for him to say that:

      “there isn’t universal agreement on AGW and since wind, solar and batteries are extremely harmful to the economy, he will convene an impartial panel of experts to report within six months if AGW was real or not”.

      If it was not real, then we could have returned our electricity grid to how it was before Howard started dismantling it.

      If it was real, then things would continue under the present path including his nuclear plan but with no windmills, solar or batteries.

      He could also have sold it as a massive reduction in power prices which would have had huge benefits for the domestic consumer and the economy as a whole.

      Dutton and his advisors blew it.

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        Steve of Cornubia

        I feel that, rather than devise policies and messaging based on polls or focus groups, pollies and political parties should stick to their PRINCIPLES and be open and honest about them. If this produces a win, that’s great, but if it means you lose the election, then just accept that your principles don’t match the electorate’s needs. Don’t swing this way and that just to get elected.

        I think conservatives now, more than ever, can spot deception from afar. It’s a cynicism born out of many years’ disappointment.

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        Yarpos

        I seriously doubt all these energy considerations played much part in the vote for the average Aussie. Its a big deal among the audience here, but just a side issue in the election easily dismissed by “models” and alleged vast costs. Government funded “free” stuff seemed to dominate.

        To the average person nothimg is broken. The flick a switch and the lights come on like they always have and they grizzle about the cost. Until we become Spain or worse I dont think this awareness level will change.

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          ozfred

          To the average person nothimg is broken. The flick a switch and the lights come on like they always have and they grizzle about the cost.
          rural and regional residents fully understand the fickleness of electrical powerlines and Australian weather (and associated vegetation)
          Perhaps a plan on electricity generation is to say what is good enough for the Chinese power system is good enough for Australia. Maintaining and increasing non-renewalable generation in sufficient capacity to ensure a reliable network while trying to create and install “reliable renewables”.
          Just highlight we are doing the same as the Chinese?

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      Peter C

      The big deal is not nuclear power per se but the problems of escalating electricity costs and grid instability arising from reliance on wind and solar.
      Dutton and the Liberals failed to explain that and hence misse the opportunity for a really effective talking point during the campaign.

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    Scott

    For those that may not have seen it yet Rick Will has an excellent post over at WUWT.

    High Resolution Earth Orbital Precession relative to Climate & Weather.

    I wonder if the changes are due to the larger planets

    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2025/05/04/high-resolution-earth-orbital-precession-relative-to-climate-weather/

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      RickWill

      I note here that I did correct the typing errors David M found but there are still others to correct.

      The Sun is like a hammer thrower but rather than the one big hammer, Jupiter, that it leans back to balance, it has other big hammers that move slower because they are further away and other small hammers that move faster. So the Sun dithers its way around the centre of the solar system in a complex path that sometimes bypasses the actual centre.

      A fundamental error in analysing the motion of the sun on its surface forces is thinking it revolves around the barycentre. Its orbit changes dramatically from year-to-year. And that influences Earth’s weather. And orbit includes out of elliptical plane excursions. So determining solar intensity on Earth requires both apparent declination and distance in 3D not just the elliptical plane.

      The JPL data analyses the objects in the solar system as point masses. I doubt that is a good approximation for the Sun because the gravitational forces can exert torque on the Sun so the spin of the Sun spin on its own axis is extracting energy from the gravitational field at times and giving it back at times meaning its rotational speed can change. Also the equator spins faster than the poles. The equatorial spin is presently slowing down.

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        Rowjay

        Keep going RickWill – this is great research.
        From your WUWT post…

        There has never been and never will be two days in Earth’s existence with identical Earth-Sun declination and distance.

        The big change around 1890+ is more than interesting. What would be great is if this analysis can be extended out to ~2065-2075 to see if there is a similar “blip”.

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        Peter C

        Well done Rick.
        While you are fixing things_ecliptic plane.

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    David Maddison

    As Western Europe again falls under the domination of the Moors, there will be major changes in the geopolitical landscape, especially due to French and UK nuclear weapons.

    At the same time Australia and Canada have fallen under Leftist regimes.

    China is increasingly aggressive and expansionist and hostile to the US and West.

    This leaves America with none of her traditional allies leaving only the possibility of Russia, Eastern Europe and Ukraine as allies who themselves don’t wish to fall under Moorish control.

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      Miasma

      Did you think all this up on your own David ?.
      Since when did the ‘Moors’ regain dominance over Western Europe?, they didn’t the first time. You really should read more.
      Trump has actively destroyed traditional alliances and praised authoritarians, that’s why he’s [snip] Ukraine.

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        KP

        “Since when did the ‘Moors’ regain dominance over Western Europe?, t”

        Do you think they don’t have any? Right down to the no-go areas for Police or anyone white? Sharia law areas? Starting their own political parties? Flooding the countries of Europe and imposing their cultures in schools? and the big one, on current reproductive rates they will just vote themselves into power.

        Trump inherited a broke economy and realised the Americans started all their wars since WW2 themselves, so he is dropping the military side and emphasizing the economic growth. Not being a professional politician, he can see how slimy and maladjusted they are, so he probably admires authoritarians more. That’s not hard…

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          Miasma

          Quite an alternative history you’ve got there, Islamic domination of Europe and Trump as the great peace maker, applying his bankruptcy inspired business acumen.
          You should write a book !.

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            ozfred

            applying his bankruptcy inspired business acumen.

            Blame the laws regarding financial (and tax) transactions.
            anyone who wants to successfully “play the game” will read the “rules of the game” very carefully. And will hire people who are expert in those rules(which include bankruptcy).

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      Yarpos

      China is aggressive? Is that due to the hundreds of military bases they have scattered around the world? oh wait…

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      John Connor II

      Ahhh..civilising Europe via invasion…
      Maybe that’s what the “Moors” are doing right now?
      I mean France is devoid of culture so the moors will sort that out. Too many fish & chips shops in the UK. Convert it all to African cuisine! Ireland? Soon to be teetotallers. 😆

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    Neville

    So why did Labor lie about toxic W & S last election and now this 2025 election and why do people swallow these lies again and again although the cost will be horrendous for our budget and environment? Here Lomborg tries to wake us up to the true cost of these W & S disasters using proper data and evidence. Here’s a short quote and the article is full of accurate quotes to help us understand Labor’s lies and BS Ponzi scheme.

    “For the world’s large, emerging industrial nations–like China, India, Bangladesh, and Indonesia– reliance on coal is an inescapable fact of life. Last year, China got more additional power from coal than it did from wind and solar. India got three times as much, whereas Bangladesh got 13 times more coal electricity than it did from green energy sources, and Indonesia an astonishing 90 times more. They’re not dragging their feet just to be difficult. Reliability matters—especially when you’re focused on growing your economy and helping millions of people to escape from poverty”.

    LOMBORG: The True Cost of Wind and Solar Energy – NH Journal

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    David Maddison

    The big question for the fake conservative Liberals is if they are now going to shift even further to the Left or are they going to become conservative?

    Frankly, I don’t think they’re fixable.

    I think the existing small freedom parties have to unite into a conservative force and make a new genuinely conservative party.

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    Neville

    BTW here’s my comment about the true cost of W & S on Jo’s election day blog……

    Here’s the revelation of the century dated today 3/5/25 and at last reveals their full cost of toxic, unreliable W & S.
    This is from Melbourne Uni, Qld Uni and the Nous Group. And they estimate that the full cost would be up to 9 TRILLION $ by 2030.
    BTW the full cost of the Coalition’s Nuclear policy is about 0.15 trillion and not the 0.6 trillion dollars claimed by the Labor liars and con merchants plus their mates in the MSM.
    Please read this if you have the time.

    https://reneweconomy.com.au/net-zero-study-finds-australia-needs-nearly-three-terawatts-of-wind-and-solar/#:~:text=Australia%20will%20need%20nearly%20three%20terrawatts%2C%20or%203%2C000,to%20%249%20trillion%2C%20according%20to%20a%20new%20study.

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      Neville

      We shouldn’t forget that Australia’s total GDP is about 1.7 Trillion $ and yet we’re supposed to fund a cost of 9 trillion $ for toxic, unreliable W & S?
      Why doesn’t the MSM or so called scientists etc call out their lies and fra-d?

      https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/AUS/australia/gdp-gross-domestic-product

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        KP

        “We shouldn’t forget that Australia’s total GDP is about 1.7 Trillion $ ”

        Well, we’ve only borrowed a trillion against that, I’m sure Labor will borrow more to cover the ruinables. Will the lenders start demanding collateral on the main tax income industries, taking over the mining that way?

        Should we insist on cash again, then print ‘DEBT’ in big red letters across each note in the correct ratio? Every person spending money would see how much debt they’re signed up for. We’re hitting $30K for every person, and tax freedom day is moving towards May now, but the plebs just don’t want to know.

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    another ian

    FWIW

    “STEVE MILLOY: Congress Must Repeal All Green New Scam Subsidies”

    BUT

    “The problem is that, while all Republicans seem to want to pass some sort of Big Beautiful Bill, not all want that bill to repeal the Green New Scam.”

    More at

    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2025/05/05/steve-milloy-congress-must-repeal-all-green-new-scam-subsidies/

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    David Maddison

    All politicians should read and understand:

    When you see that in order to produce, you need to obtain permission from men who produce nothing – When you see that money is flowing to those who deal, not in goods, but in favors – When you see that men get richer by graft and by pull than by work, and your laws don’t protect you against them, but protect them against you – When you see corruption being rewarded and honesty becoming a self-sacrifice – You may know that your society is doomed.

    Ayn Rand, Atlas Shrugged

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      John Connor II

      “There is no difference between communism and socialism, except in the means of achieving the same ultimate end: communism proposes to enslave men by force, socialism – by vote. It is merely the difference between murder and suicide.”

      – Ayn Rand

      The voting is done. Reality awaits.

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    David Maddison

    Sometimes your freedom is not taken away at gunpoint but instead it is done one piece of paper at a time, one seemingly meaningless rule at a time, one small silencing at a time.

    – Armando Valladares

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    Neville

    Wikipedia still shows Aussie capacity factor for wind at 30% and solar at 15%, so why would anyone waste 9 TRILLION $ on Labor’s BS and con trick?
    Again why doesn’t the MSM or so called scientists or journalists warn the public about the horrendous costs and all for a guaranteed zero return by 2050 or 2100?
    We’ve been yapping about climate change since 1990, so will we still be yapping about this fra-dulent nonsense for another 35 years?
    And why do China, India and the NON OECD countries continue to build more coal, nuclear and gas plants?

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      Gob

      Maybe those countries are not interested in the ten to fifteen year life cycle of wind and solar facilities when all installation costs will fall due again.

      Why don’t we hear about this recurrent expense from Giles Parkinson and Mike Cannon-Brookes?

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    Earl

    My final word on the events of Saturday. Shared same spot with a Labor HTV card distributor, 20yr old just completed second of 4-year uni course still living at home. She was “armed” with statements such as “protect Medicare” and, when her demographic came down the path, “reduce your hecs debt”.

    In the course of discussion discovered this first-generation Australian lass had a central Europe father and Asian mother, had worked out her hecs debt would be around $40k, believed Malcolm Turnbull was well liked by the LNP and had been a good PM, that nuclear for Australia would cost $600b, that the French submarine project should have been kept, and AUKUS was a mistake. Also believed that renewables were the only way to go because all the coal powered stations were past their use by date, were breaking down and were too expensive to fix/replace. Showed some genuine surprise when told the real life of Malcolm story.

    The medicare/hecs slogan catch calls suggested an element of coaching which was further confirmed by her evaluation of Turnbull – he was PM 2015-18 when she was 11-14yrs old and highly unlikely to be formulating an opinion on any politicians’ level of performance/acceptance let alone take the time to reflect on the subject some 6 years later. Turnbull’s raised profile during the election – interview on ABC Afternoon briefing and address to national press club etc – claiming Dutton was close to Trump and being Trump like and critical of the LNP nuclear option would have made a powerful training package wrapping i.e. even a well-respected former leader of the party is against its current leader, so Labor is the only way to go.

    I’m sure there are plenty of insights available from other volunteers that could illustrate how the views of those embarking on a 40+ year journey of voting in elections are being molded, but no one has mentioned any formal debrief or even suggested that feedback would be accepted. No, instead just leave it all up to the party elite who already know that the uniparty, labor-light strategy IS still the only way to go. There are going to be 3 vacant chairs available when/if ever the LNP do get around to presenting their echo chamber-based report.

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      Ronin

      The last few years school leavers come preprogrammed to vote left, they don’t know to ask questions, they are just believers.

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    John Connor II

    Trump signs EO ending GOF research locally and abroad

    https://x.com/thackerpd/status/1919498221698605487/

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      Broadie

      Key phrase is ‘last decade’ essentially the same as Fauci’s pardon from 2014.
      Right from Trump’s election in 2016 he was handed a pandemic to deal with.

      In 2018, the Trump administration issued our Pandemic Crisis Action Plan, one of the binders that I just handed to Lyndee. Further, from August 13th to the 16th, the Trump administration conducted the Crimson Contagion 2019 Functional Exercise. This was a pandemic stimulation [simulation] to test the nation’s ability to respond to a large-scale outbreak.

      There was a bad flu season in 2017 winter in Australia. ABS figures

      Excess mortality 2017:
      expected 140,108 actual 143,738, excess 3,630, % 2.6,
      Statistically significant number above the limit of usual variation 1,501

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