By Jo Nova
The Soothsayers of Weather have come up with a new spooky fundraising term — “Climate Whiplash”. It’s multi-purpose: it’s a handy excuse for their failures at the same time as a plea for more cash.
Essentially the BOM needs more of your money because they’re more wrong than ever before. The same experts that told you it’s just the physics stupid, are now saying that the climate has changed in ways that they didn’t predict, and that makes it harder for them to predict. It’s such bad luck…
Where were their forecasts of “Climate Whiplash affecting their BoM predictions,” thirty years ago?
‘Climate whiplash’ making Australian weather forecasts increasingly unpredictable and costly
7 News
Australians are facing a new climate reality where traditional weather patterns no longer apply, with scientists warning that “climate whiplash” is making seasonal forecasts increasingly unreliable and costly.
The phenomenon has left meteorologists struggling to predict what’s coming next, as one season can bring floods, fires, storms and record heat with little warning.
Sounds like an infinite excuse. The BOM were never able to do seasonal forecasts anyhow and there wasn’t even a “climate whiplash” factor until they needed a new dark marketing term to scare the horses.
Now they’ve got a new $77 million dollar super computer, apparently things aren’t getting better.
Lets just check their past accuracy of the chance of unusually dry forecasts for May rainfall 3 months out : Might as well be random chance. The rain fell where it fell, and the BoM couldn’t tell.
The truth is that the BoM can’t lose what they never had
They were never able to predict Australian seasonal forecasts six months in advance because it’s all dominated by the Pacific Oscillation and they have no idea what drives the biggest weather phenomenon on the planet. The BoM can only guess at the likelihood of when an El Nino will bring a BBQ summer next.
Imagine how different it would be if the BoM could say that 2027 will be a mild year, but 2028 will be a scorcher? Think of the farmers…!
If the BoM bothered to graph their own accuracy of prediction they’d probably find cycles in their ability that came and went with the Pacific and have nothing to do with CO2.
Climate Whiplash is a marketing ploy not a variable of science
The BoM might distance themselves from the “whiplash” hyperbole, and pretend it was journalistic license, but they never complain when the Blob Media sells the full-spooky witchcraft of a new “climate reality”.
The more money we throw at the BOM the worse it gets. Think of the $96 million dollar website makeover everyone hated?
They probably don’t want me to mention that the old website is still there at reg.bom.gov.au (and we want our $96 million dollars back).